The Colorado Rockies host the Pittsburgh Pirates on June 20, 2026. First pitch from Coors Field is scheduled for 9:10 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on SportsNet PT.
The Pirates are favored by -210 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Rockies are +176 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 10.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Pirates vs Rockies prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Pirates vs Rockies Prediction
- Pirates vs Rockies Pick: Over 10.5 (-110)
My Pirates vs Rockies best bet is Over 10.5 total runs in this game. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Pirates vs Rockies Odds
| Pirates Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -142 | 10.5 -110o / -110u | -210 |
| Rockies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +118 | 10.5 -110o / -110u | +176 |
- Pirates vs Rockies moneyline: Pirates -210, Rockies +176
- Pirates vs Rockies over/under: 10.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Pirates vs Rockies spread: Pirates -1.5 (-142), Rockies +1.5 (+118)
Pirates vs Rockies Probable Pitchers
| Paul Skenes (RHP, PIT) | Stat | Tomoyuki Sugano (RHP, COL) |
|---|---|---|
| 6-6 | W-L | 7-4 |
| 2.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.3 |
| 2.85 / 2.50 | ERA / xERA | 4.54 / 7.14 |
| 2.68 / 2.87 | FIP / xFIP | 5.27 / 5.10 |
| 25.5 | K-BB% | 6.1 |
| 44.8 | GB% | 36.7 |
| .261 | BABIP | .268 |
| 99 | Stuff+ | 80 |
| 113 | Location+ | 103 |
Pirates vs Rockies MLB Betting Preview
It’s Paul Skenes. I get it. He doesn’t have an estimator reaching three except a 3.22 Bot ERA that’s complemented by a 112 Pitching+.
He’s great, yet I’m backing the over. Let’s go through several reasons.
First, the park. It’s a 25% boost to run scoring without considering weather, which, as currently forecast, may add an additional 3-4% boost (see BARTOLO below). Adam Hamari may take a small portion of that back, but an eight-run game somewhere else is a 10-run game here.
Next, the Colorado offense has not been as bad as they have been in recent seasons. They still somehow have just an 84 wRC+ at home, but a 96 wRC+ against RHP, while the projected lineup has a 106 wRC+ over the last 30 days and 107 wRC+ against RHP since last season.
The Pittsburgh defense is also in the bottom third of the league (-8 Runs Prevented & OAA). The projected defense has accumulated -8 FRV. The Pirates also own BARTOLO’s 23rd-ranked bullpen.
Finally, Tomoyuki Sugano has a 4.54 ERA, which is still far ahead of estimates ranging from a 4.96 Bot ERA (88 Pitching+) to a 7.20 xERA.
Coors batters have a .358 wOBA against him this year (5.3 K-BB%), LHBs, of which he’s expected to face roughly 18 times on Saturday, have a .406 wOBA (0.0 K-BB%) against him at Coors Field.
And once Sugano leaves, it doesn't get much better coming out of the Colorado bullpen.
Pirates vs Rockies Pick, Betting Analysis
The Pirates have the same 113 against RHIP this season as their projected lineup has averaged since last season.
So, yes, over 10 runs (-115) with the expectation that the Pirates will be doing more of the scoring. I’d play to 10.5, but cut to 0.5u above 10.
Picks: Over 10 (-115), 1.15u (Bet to 10.5)
