The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Pittsburgh Pirates on August 21, 2026. First pitch from UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on SportsNet LA.
The Dodgers are favored by -230 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Pirates are +205 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Pirates vs Dodgers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Pirates vs Dodgers Prediction
- Pirates vs Dodgers Pick: Bubba Chandler Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (+100)
My Pirates vs Dodgers best bet is on Bubba Chandler to give up four or fewer hits tonight. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Pirates vs Dodgers Odds
| Pirates Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -115 | 8 -115o / -105u | +205 |
| Dodgers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -105 | 8 -115o / -105u | -230 |
- Pirates vs Dodgers moneyline: Pirates +205, Dodgers -230
- Pirates vs Dodgers over/under: 8 (-115o / -105u)
- Pirates vs Dodgers spread: Pirates +1.5 (-115), Dodgers -1.5 (-105)
Pirates vs Dodgers Probable Pitchers
| Bubba Chandler (RHP, PIT) | Stat | Yoshinobu Yamamoto (RHP, LAD) |
|---|---|---|
| 6-8 | W-L | 12-7 |
| 1.8 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 3.6 |
| 4.23 / 4.05 | ERA / xERA | 2.60 / 3.08 |
| 4.09 / 4.79 | FIP / xFIP | 3.34 / 3.40 |
| 8.3 | K-BB% | 18.3 |
| 39.1 | GB% | 47.6 |
| .270 | BABIP | .221 |
| 103 | Stuff+ | 103 |
| 102 | Location+ | 107 |
Pirates vs Dodgers MLB Betting Preview
Editor's Note: This written pick is a transcription from today's episode of the Payoff Pitch Podcast.
By Derek Carty
Generally, the Bat X is not a big fan of Bubba Chandler. The model wasn't as high on him coming into the year. Right now, it's the lowest system on him on FanGraphs, but it's still projecting under 4.5 hits allowed at plus money. I like this pick all the way down to -128.
It's a scary bet because the Dodgers are really good, and they could get 10 hits off of the Pirates starter, and it wouldn't be surprising.
But you know, it's one of those picks where I just trust the projection on it because the projection knows more than I do, and it knows the Dodgers are good.
It's not like we're not accounting for something. The model knows the Dodgers are the best offense in baseball, and it likes this anyway, so I'll take it.
Pirates vs Dodgers Pick, Betting Analysis
I'm trusting the projection. The Bat X is projecting 4.3 hits for Chandler.
The system is also probably seeing that the Pirates SP can struggle with walks. The Dodgers draw a lot of them, and this could get Chandler to rack up his pitch count pretty quickly and maybe not even be in the game long enough to allow that many hits.
I think this is more a bet against the Dodgers than it is a bet on Chandler. Not that the Dodgers aren't great, but a lot of times, when a bet looks ugly, that's where they're offering us the value, which seems to be the case here.
Pick: Bubba Chandler Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (+100, bet365 | Play to -128)
