The Miami Marlins host the Cincinnati Reds on April 6, 2026. First pitch from loanDepot park is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on MIAM.
The Marlins are favored by -128 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Reds are +108 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Reds vs Marlins prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Reds vs Marlins Prediction
- Reds vs Marlins Pick: Reds Moneyline
My Reds vs Marlins best bet is on Cincinnati to win. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Reds vs Marlins Odds
| Reds Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +165 | 8 -106o / -115u | +108 |
| Marlins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -191 | 8 -106o / -115u | -128 |
- Reds vs Marlins spread: Marlins -1.5 (+165 ), Reds +1.5 (-191)
- Reds vs Marlins over/under: 8 (-106o / -115u)
- Reds vs Marlins moneyline: Reds +108, Marlins -128
Reds vs Marlins Projected Starting Pitchers
| Brandon Williamson | Stat | Janson Junk |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | W-L | 6-3 |
| -0.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.2 |
| 11.57 / 18.72 | ERA /xERA | 4.15 / 2.63 |
| 11.56 / 6.46 | FIP / xFIP | 1.58 / 3.18 |
| 1.71 | WHIP | 1.38 |
| 4.5 | K-BB% | 21.1 |
| 5.9 | GB% | 50 |
| 100 | Stuff+ | 109 |
| 97 | Location+ | 97 |
Reds vs Marlins Preview
The Marlins and Reds open a new series on Monday with both teams off to identical 6-3 starts to begin the season.
Miami will turn to Janson Junk for his second start of the year after allowing two earned runs over 4 1/3 innings against the White Sox in his debut. The right-hander enters with a 4.15 ERA and a solid early strikeout-to-walk profile, looking to provide stability for a Marlins staff that has held its own early on.
Cincinnati counters with Brandon Williamson, who is coming off a rough first outing. The left-hander allowed six earned runs over 4 2/3 innings against Pittsburgh and enters with an 11.57 ERA, while opponents are hitting .316 against him through his first start.
At the plate, both teams showed similar profiles last season, with neither lineup ranking among the league’s most powerful offenses. Still, each side features impact bats — including Elly De La Cruz for Cincinnati and Xavier Edwards for Miami — capable of swinging momentum in a hurry.
Reds vs Marlins Picks
When the Marlins open a series against a team coming off a game in the Eastern or Central time zone, the market often underrates the visiting team due to the perception of minimal travel impact. In reality, these teams enter Game 1 with their routines intact and without the challenges of cross-country adjustments, allowing them to perform at expected or elevated levels.
Because the Marlins are not typically priced as a top-tier opponent, this creates value in fading them in the series opener. The "Bet Teams vs. Marlins after playing on East Coast" system capitalizes on that edge by betting against the Marlins in Game 1 during the regular or postseason when their opponent's previous game was played in the Eastern or Central time zone, turning overlooked market assumptions into a profitable opportunity.
Pick: Reds Moneyline
