The Miami Marlins host the Cincinnati Reds on April 7, 2026. First pitch from loanDepot park is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on CINR.
The Marlins are favored by -135 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Reds are +113 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Reds vs Marlins prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Reds vs Marlins Prediction
- Reds vs Marlins Pick: Under 7
My Reds vs Marlins best bet is on under 7 total runs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Reds vs Marlins Odds
| Reds Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +159 | 7 -121o / +101u | +113 |
| Marlins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -192 | 7 -121o / +101u | -135 |
- Reds vs Marlins spread: Marlins -1.5 (+159 ), Reds +1.5 (-192)
- Reds vs Marlins over/under: 7 (-121o / +101u)
- Reds vs Marlins moneyline: Reds +113, Marlins -135
Reds vs Marlins Projected Starting Pitchers
| Andrew Abbott | Stat | Sandy Alcantara |
|---|---|---|
| 7-3 | W-L | 6-4 |
| 0.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.6 |
| 3.09 / 4.63 | ERA /xERA | 0 / 1.44 |
| 3.78 / 3.73 | FIP / xFIP | 2.24 / 3.62 |
| 1.37 | WHIP | 0.56 |
| 10.4 | K-BB% | 17.9 |
| 57.1 | GB% | 51.3 |
| 93 | Stuff+ | 100 |
| 103 | Location+ | 106 |
Reds vs Marlins Preview
The Reds will look to extend their four-game winning streak on Tuesday as they face the Marlins in the middle game of the series. Cincinnati has gotten off to a strong 7-3 start, while Miami looks to slow that momentum behind its ace.
Sandy Alcantara gets the ball for the Marlins in his third start of the season after a dominant outing last time out. The right-hander threw a complete-game shutout against the White Sox and enters with a 0.00 ERA and a 0.56 WHIP through his first two appearances.
Cincinnati counters with Andrew Abbott, who will make his third start of the year. The left-hander allowed four earned runs over 5 2/3 innings against Pittsburgh in his last outing and enters with a 3.09 ERA, while opponents are hitting .273 against him so far.
At the plate, both teams showed fairly similar profiles last season, with neither lineup standing out for power. However, Cincinnati features more proven run producers, led by Elly De La Cruz and Eugenio Suárez.
Reds vs Marlins Picks
The "Contrarian Unders for Winning Teams, Later in Series" system targets unders in MLB series games (Game 2 or later) where both teams have winning records, suggesting quality pitching and competitive matchups. However, public betting leans toward the over, likely expecting fireworks between top teams, which creates contrarian value on the under.
By capitalizing on low public support for the under (≤35%), the strategy fades public perception in favor of market inefficiencies, especially when bettors overestimate offensive output later in a series.
Pick: Under 7
