The New York Mets host the Cincinnati Reds on May 27, 2026. First pitch from Citi Field is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SNY.
The Reds are favored by -120 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Mets are -100 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Reds vs Mets prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Reds vs Mets Prediction
- Reds vs Mets Pick: Carson Benge Over 0.5 Singles (+105, BetMGM)
My Reds vs Mets best bet is Carson Benge to go over his Singles total. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Reds vs Mets Odds
| Reds Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -191 | 8 -119o / -105u | -100 |
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +165 | 8 -119o / -105u | -120 |
- Reds vs Mets moneyline: Reds -100, Mets -120
- Reds vs Mets over/under: 8 (-119o / -105u)
- Reds vs Mets spread: Reds -1.5 (+165), Mets +1.5 (-191)
Reds vs Mets Probable Pitchers
| LHP Andrew Abbott (CIN) | Stat | RHP Huascar Brazobán (NYM) |
|---|---|---|
| 4-2 | W-L | 3-1 |
| 0.5 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.4 |
| 3.97/4.66 | ERA / xERA | 1.73/2.57 |
| 4.72/4.90 | FIP / xFIP | 3.38/4.07 |
| 4.9% | K-BB% | 8.8% |
| 41.7% | GB% | 53.5% |
| .284 | BABIP | .183 |
| 93 | Stuff+ | 97 |
| 100 | Location+ | 101 |
Reds vs Mets MLB Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds (29-25 ATS) enter this matchup riding the momentum of a dominant series opener. Backed by a stellar performance from Chase Burns on Tuesday, the Reds' offense clicked into gear, continuing a trend of rewarding bettors who back them against the spread. Tonight, Cincinnati rolls out left-hander Andrew Abbott (4-2, 3.97 ERA).
While his surface numbers look passable, Abbott's underlying metrics tell the story of a pitcher playing a dangerous game of chicken with opposing bats this season. On the flip side, the New York Mets (19-35 ATS) are desperate to find consistency.
New York’s bats went quiet on Tuesday, a recurring theme in what has been a frustrating season for sports bettors backing the Metropolitans. They counter tonight with Huascar Brazoban (3-1, 1.71 ERA), who has been a bright spot in the rotation.
However, if the Mets want to pull out a win as -120 home favorites, they will need their young offensive core to step up and exploit Abbott's sudden lack of swing-and-miss stuff.
Reds vs Mets Pick, Betting Analysis
While the side and total are tightly projected with an Over/Under of 8 runs, the real value on tonight’s board lies in the player prop market. Specifically, our PRO Projections have flagged an elite edge on a rising star in the Mets' lineup.
Mets rookie outfielder Carson Benge has quietly turned into a hitting machine after a relatively slow start to his debut campaign. The 2024 first-round pick has completely found his rhythm over the last month, hitting .292 (33-for-113) over the last 30 games and 303 (20-for-66) over the last 15.
Benge has established himself at the top of New York's order, maximizing his opportunities to see high-quality pitches early and often.
The key for this pick is the regression of Reds starter Andrew Abbott.
Abbott has seen a drastic drop-off in his ability to fool major league hitters. His strikeout rate has plummeted to a career-low 13.2%, down significantly from his previous seasons. Digging deeper into the analytics, Abbott’s fastball whiff percentage has crashed to just 6.1%, and his overall chase rate sits in the bottom 10% of the league.
He has adjusted by trying to induce soft contact, but it has resulted in a heavily elevated pitch-to-contact profile. He has surrendered 57 hits in 56.2 innings this year, making him highly vulnerable to a disciplined, contact-oriented hitter like Benge.
Pick: Carson Benge Over 0.5 Singles (+105, BetMGM)
