The San Diego Padres (82-68) and Colorado Rockies (55-95) meet tonight, with the game set to start at 8:40 p.m. ET at Coors Field in Denver, Colo. The game will be broadcast live on SDPA and can be traded on Kalshi.
The Padres are favored by -1.5 against the spread, with the over/under set at 11.5. The Padres are the preferred trading option, while the Rockies will be looking to pull off an upset.
Let's get into our Padres vs. Rockies predictions and picks.
Padres vs. Rockies Predictions, Odds
Padres vs. Rockies Picks
Padres vs. Rockies Picks: Under 11.5 (51%) / Rockies ML (37%)
Padres vs. Rockies Analysis
Sean Zerillo's projections show solid value on the total for this Padres vs. Rockies matchup, with a 7.7% edge on the under, as well as 3.2% on Colorado's moneyline. Also, be sure to download the Action Network app for additional picks and analysis.
If you want to dive deeper into this matchup, it'd be wise to check out BARTOLO, Zerillo's new PRO baseball tool that gives you access to all the input data he uses to project games every day.
Padres vs. Rockies Prediction
BARTOLO projects the Padres for 5.76 runs and the Rockies for 4.48 tonight, which would bring the total under the line.
Although Colorado's offense is much better at home and the first game of this series already produced 15 runs yesterday, the line at 11.5 is really high.
Zerillo also ranks San Diego's bullpen as the 4th-best in the majors, and you can see here how BARTOLO projects it for this matchup.
The model also points toward a contrarian pick on the moneyline, with a 3.2% edge favoring the last-place Rockies.
As awful as they have been, however, their 30-42 record at home shows that if there's a place they can actually win every now and then, it's Denver.
At a great price, it might be worth taking the chance.
San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies Trade: Under 11.5 (51%) / Rockies ML (37%)
