The Tampa Bay Rays host the San Diego Padres on August 28, 2026. First pitch from Tropicana Field is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SDPA.
The Rays are favored by -132 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Padres are +116 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Padres vs Rays prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Padres vs Rays Prediction
- Padres vs Rays Pick: Shane McClanahan Under 15.5 Outs (-190)
My Padres vs Rays best bet is McClanahan under 15.5 outs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Padres vs Rays Odds
| Padres Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +156 | 7.5 -102o / -119u | +116 |
| Rays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -192 | 7.5 -102o / -119u | -132 |
- Padres vs Rays moneyline: Padres +116, Rays -132
- Padres vs Rays over/under: 7.5 (-102o / -119u)
- Padres vs Rays spread: Rays -1.5 (+156 ), Padres +1.5 (-192)
Padres vs Rays Probable Pitchers
| Casey Mize | Stat | Shane McClanahan |
|---|---|---|
| 5-7 | W-L | 9-6 |
| 2.8 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 2.4 |
| 3.44 / 3.48 | ERA / xERA | 3.10 / 4.14 |
| 3.28 / 4.15 | FIP / xFIP | 3.33 / 3.97 |
| 16.4 | K-BB% | 14.2 |
| 31.1 | GB% | 44 |
| .270 | BABIP | .257 |
| 88 | Stuff+ | 107 |
| 107 | Location+ | 94 |
Padres vs Rays MLB Betting Preview
Padres vs Rays Pick, Betting Analysis
By Nick Galaida
Shane McClanahan has already surpassed his 2025 workload by more than 100 innings. Due to various arm injuries, this season is the first time since 2023 in which he has thrown more than 100 innings. As a result, it would make sense for the Rays to be very mindful of his innings during the final month of the regular season.
McClanahan threw 74 pitches and faced 20 batters on August 22 – likely near his ceiling for his workload tonight. The Rays also have a fully-rested bullpen, which makes it particularly likely that McClanahan won’t be pushed too extensively.
Pick: Shane McClanahan Under 15.5 Outs (-190)
