The San Diego Padres host the San Francisco Giants on July 31, 2026. First pitch from Petco Park is scheduled for 9:45 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on Apple TV+.
The Padres are favored by -138 on the moneyline and priced at +142 to cover the run-line (-1.5). The Giants are +128 and priced at -172 to cover +1.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Giants vs Padres prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Giants vs Padres Prediction
- Giants vs Padres Pick: Over 8.5 (-115 | Play to -120)
My Giants vs Padres best bet is Over 8.5 total runs tonight. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Giants vs Padres Odds
| Giants Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -172 | 8.5 -115o / -105u | +128 |
| Padres Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +142 | 8.5 -115o / -105u | -138 |
- Giants vs Padres moneyline: Giants +128, Padres -138
- Giants vs Padres over/under: 8.5 (-115o/-105u)
- Giants vs Padres spread: Giants +1.5 (-172), Padres -1.5 (+142)
Giants vs Padres Kalshi MLB Odds
Giants vs Padres Probable Pitchers
| Carson Whisenhunt (LHP, SF) | Stat | Bradgley Rodriguez (RHP, SD) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | W-L | 2-2 |
| 0.0 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.1 |
| 4.60 / 5.82 | ERA / xERA | 2.33 / 2.38 |
| 5.47 / 4.92 | FIP / xFIP | 2.67 / 3.66 |
| 7.5 | K-BB% | 16.0 |
| 35.6 | GB% | 52.3 |
| .256 | BABIP | .279 |
| 99 | Stuff+ | 100 |
| 95 | Location+ | 105 |
Giants vs Padres MLB Betting Preview
San Francisco Giants Betting Preview
After a sluggish start to the season offensively, the Giants lineup has been productive over a fairly lengthy sample of play. They put together plenty of quality at-bats in Thursday's series opener, and easily could have won comfortably if not for going 0-for-9 with runners in scoring position.
Since June 1st, they have a wRC+ of 109 and hold a wRC+ of 111 versus right-handed pitching. They hold the seventh-best BB/K ratio in the league in that span and hold the third-highest expected batting average this season.
Pitching has been the larger issue behind San Francisco's 47-62 record, as the staff has an ERA of 4.34 this season and 4.66 on the road away from the pitcher-friendly confines of Oracle Park.
Lefty Carson Whisenhunt does not appear to be an overly convincing starter at this point in time, as the 25-year-old has pitched to an xERA of 5.82 and an xFIP of 4.92 across 15 and 2/3 MLB innings this season. His work in Triple-A also has not been overly impressive, with a 4.67 xERA and 4.90 xFIP across 82 and 1/3 innings.
The Giants bullpen ranks 21st in ERA this season and holds the fourth-highest xFIP in baseball. Their relievers also rank 22nd with a Pitching+ rating of 97.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The Padres will deploy Bradgley Rodriguez as an opener on Friday, with the hard-throwing right-hander expected to navigate the top of the Giants lineup before Germán Márquez takes over in bulk relief.
The opener strategy makes sense given Rodriguez's excellent season and San Diego's deep bullpen, but Márquez's recent form remains a concern. The veteran appears well on his way to finishing with an ERA north of 5.00 for the third consecutive season.
Márquez holds an xERA of 5.60 and an xFIP of 5.49, as well as a Pitching+ rating of 87. He has a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 5.7% and has been hard-hit 44.4% of the time.
The Padres lineup has been a major disappointment this season, but they have played up to expectations recently in hitting to a wRC+ of 116 over the last 30 days. They hold a strikeout rate of 20.4% during that time frame, and rank ninth in hard-hit rate.
Giants vs Padres Pick, Betting Analysis
Though neither offense is especially appealing to back in this matchup, both lineups have been considerably more productive over the latter stages of the season.
Whisenhunt and Márquez both project as well below-average starters, and it's realistic to see either side have a highly productive day at the plate in this matchup.
At -120 or better, there looks to be value backing this matchup to finish with nine or more total runs.
Pick: Over 8.5 (-115, FanDuel | Play to -120)
