The Houston Astros host the Texas Rangers on May 16, 2026. First pitch from Daikin Park is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on SCHN.
The Rangers are favored by -149 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Astros are +123 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find our MLB picks and Rangers vs Astros prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Rangers vs Astros Prediction
- Rangers vs Astros Pick: Under 8 (-115)
Our Rangers vs Astros best bet is Under 8 total runs in this game. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Rangers vs Astros Odds
| Rangers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +113 | 8 -104o / -115u | -149 |
| Astros Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -136 | 8 -104o / -115u | +123 |
- Rangers vs Astros moneyline: Rangers -149, Astros +123
- Rangers vs Astros over/under: 8 (-104o / -115u)
- Rangers vs Astros spread: Rangers -1.5 (+113), Astros +1.5 (-136)
Rangers vs Astros Probable Pitchers
| RHP Jacob deGrom (TEX) | Stat | RHP Kai-Wei Teng (HOU) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | W-L | 1-3 |
| 1.3 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.2 |
| 2.62 / 3.01 | ERA / xERA | 3.12 / 3.65 |
| 2.83 / 2.81 | FIP / xFIP | 3.87 / 3.77 |
| 28.2 | K-BB% | 14.4 |
| 29.6 | GB% | 40.8 |
| .262 | BABIP | .246 |
| 111 | Stuff+ | 99 |
| 115 | Location+ | 98 |
Rangers vs Astros MLB Betting Preview
Yesterday, these teams featured in a low-scoring game that ended with a 2-0 victory for the Astros.
That result triggered our Bet Labs "Under After Low Scoring Game in Series, Short Term" system, which recommends backing another under in tonight's matchup.
The Rangers will start Jacob deGrom, who has been a key player in such bets throughout his career, and particularly now that the right-hander has returned to peak form.
The two-time Cy Young winner sports real and expected ERAs and FIPs under 3.00 this season, with a minuscule 0.92 WHIP and an amazing 32.8 strikeout percentage.
He's also coming off a stellar performance against the Cubs, throwing seven scoreless innings, with just three hits allowed and 10 strikeouts.
His rival on the mound, Kai-Wei Teng, is also doing well, with a 22.8 strikeout percentage and a 1.08 WHIP, plus ERAs and FIPs all under 4.00.
The strongest hint that this game could remain low-scoring is that both offenses have done poorly over the last week, ranking 23rd (Rangers) and 28th (Astros) in wRC+.
Rangers vs Astros Pick, Betting Analysis
This system targets MLB regular-season games where both teams are coming off low-scoring performances (0 to 2 runs scored in their previous game) within the same series.
These matchups tend to reflect strong pitching or cold offenses, and the market may not adjust the total downward enough in time.
This strategy filters for more recent seasons to reflect current scoring environments and pitcher usage trends.
Betting the under in these situations has shown consistent short-term profitability.
Pick: Under 8 (-115, DraftKings)
