Tigers vs Twins Odds, Pick | MLB Prediction Today

Tigers vs Twins Odds, Pick | MLB Prediction Today article feature image

Photo by David Berding/Getty Images. Pictured: Byron Buxton.

  • The Minnesota Twins host the Detroit Tigers in the third game of a four-game AL Central series.
  • The Twins will send Brent Headrick to the mound while the Tigers will counter with Joey Wentz.
  • D.J. James breaks down the Saturday matchup and shares his Tigers vs. Twins betting prediction below.

Tigers vs. Twins Odds

Saturday, June 17
2:10 p.m. ET
Tigers Odds
MoneylineTotalRun Line
-105 / -115
Twins Odds
MoneylineTotalRun Line
-105 / -115
Odds via  BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
Check out our  MLB Betting Hub for more previews from today's slate.

The Minnesota Twins are set to use an opener Saturday, but will then give the ball to Brent Headrick as they face Joey Wentz and the Detroit Tigers. Headrick only had a couple of outings at the MLB level in April before being sent down. Meanwhile, Wentz looks like he might need some work.

Wentz hasn't been good, but the Tigers have, shockingly, hit left-handers well in June.

Overall, the Twins have been below average, but should be able to hit Wentz and the Tigers’ middle relief corps.

Since Headrick hasn't really impressed yet, the over should be in play in this AL Central game at Comerica Park.

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Detroit Tigers

Wentz just isn't a good pitcher. He could be in the future, but he hasn't yet flashed any signs of brilliance in the majors. The 25-year-old ranks in the 25th percentile in Average Exit Velocity and the 20th percentile in Hard Hit Rate. He has a sub-19% Strikeout Rate and a 9.3% Walk Rate. His Barrel Percentage is also above 11%. All of these ingredients have led to a paltry 7.23 ERA. Yes, his xERA is lower, but a 6.20 mark isn't worth bragging about. Minnesota should hit him well.

Surprisingly, Detroit’s hitting has been strong off of lefties lately. The Tigers carry a MLB-best 173 wRC+ in June off of southpaws. Yes, they only have 43 plate appearances, but even in the past month, Detroit has a 105 wRC+ off of lefties. The Tigers also have a 10.9% Walk Rate, paired with a .728 OPS.

Mashed by Matt!

Vote Vierling and Vote Tigers 🌟 https://t.co/JrsIBeU1cGpic.twitter.com/Yao9TAZ3e6

— Detroit Tigers (@tigers) June 14, 2023

In relief, Detroit has a 4.58 xFIP. They have four arms with an xFIP below 4.00 in June, but they'll likely need more as Wentz doesn't often go deep into games. Look for Minnesota to tack on a few runs in the mid-to-late innings.

Minnesota Twins

Headrick does have some potential. In those three April appearances, he only allowed three earned runs over 8 1/3 innings. Over 44 2/3 innings in AAA, he held a 4.23 ERA.

The Twins have a 99 wRC+ off of lefties in the past month. In June, that has dropped to a 91 wRC+ with a .695 OPS.

In relief, Minnesota has been solid, which is one potential hindrance to the over. The Twins have multiple arms under a 4.00 xFIP in June, but Detroit should get its runs off Headrick and Minnesota's middle-relief options.

Tigers vs. Twins Betting Pick

Both of these teams have the ability to breakout against left-handed pitching. Additionally, neither Headrick nor Wentz has shown an ability to dominate an opposing lineup.

Detroit has hit lefties well in the past month, and Minnesota has multiple sluggers in the middle of the order who can hit Wentz.

Pick: Over 9 (-104 | Play to -115) OR Over 10 (-110)

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