The Minnesota Twins (57-66) and Detroit Tigers (73-52) will face off in the MLB this afternoon. First pitch from Target Field is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. The game will broadcast live on MNNT.
Detroit is a -130 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Minnesota is +110 to pull off the upset. The over/under is set at 8.5 total runs.
Continue below for my Tigers vs Twins predictions and MLB picks for Sunday, August 17, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Tigers vs Twins Prediction
- Tigers vs Twins pick: Under 8.5 Runs (-110)
My Twins vs Tigers best bet is on the under, with the best price currently available at BetMGM. But as always, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Tigers vs Twins Odds
| Tigers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +140 | 8.5 -110o / -110u | -130 |
| Twins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -165 | 8.5 -110o / -110u | +110 |
Tigers vs Twins Preview, Picks
This system capitalizes on an overlooked weather edge in MLB totals betting, which appears to be the case in today's matchup between the Tigers and Twins.
It focuses on regular-season games where elevated humidity — ranging from 45 to 95 — intersects with moderate temperatures and neutral wind patterns.
Despite assumptions that humidity boosts offense, public bettors are fading these conditions, which actually correlate with suppressed scoring in certain environments.
In these spots, the home team has stayed under in recent games, with their five-game over rate sitting below 40, suggesting low offensive rhythm.
The market has subtly corrected as well, with the total dropping from open to close, and the overall percentage of bets on the over remains modest — between 6 and 29.
These indicators combine to identify under-the-radar under spots where public narratives misalign with actual scoring trends.
Tigers vs Twins Best Bet
- Under 8.5 (-110)
