Tigers vs Twins Prediction, Pick, Odds for Thursday, August 14

Tigers vs Twins Prediction, Pick, Odds for Thursday, August 14 article feature image
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Imagn Images: Tarik Skubal

The Minnesota Twins (57-63) and Detroit Tigers (70-52) will face off in the MLB tonight. First pitch from Target Field is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. The game will broadcast live on MNNT.

Detroit is a -220 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Minnesota is +180 to pull off the upset. The over/under is set at 7.5 total runs.

Continue below for my Tigers vs Twins predictions and MLB picks for Thursday, August 14, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.

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My Tigers vs Twins Prediction

  • Tigers vs Twins pick: Under 7.5 Runs (-115)

My Twins vs Tigers best bet is on the under, with the best price currently available at DraftKings. But as always, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.


Tigers vs Twins Odds

Tigers Logo
Thursday, August 14
7:40 p.m. ET
MNNT
Twins Logo
Tigers Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
-125
7.5
-105o / -115u
-220
Twins Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
+105
7.5
-105o / -115u
+180
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
DraftKings Logo

Tigers vs Twins Preview, Picks

This system capitalizes on an overlooked weather edge in MLB totals betting, which may be the case entering tonight's matchup between the Tigers and Twins.

It focuses on regular-season games where elevated humidity —ranging from 45 to 95 — intersects with moderate temperatures and neutral wind patterns.

Despite assumptions that humidity boosts offense, public bettors are fading these conditions, which actually correlate with suppressed scoring in certain environments.

In these spots, the home team has stayed under in recent games, with their five-game over rate sitting below 40, suggesting low offensive rhythm.

The market has subtly corrected as well, with the total dropping from open to close, and the overall percentage of bets on the over remains modest — between 6 and 29.

These indicators combine to identify under-the-radar under spots where public narratives misalign with actual scoring trends.

MLB Icon
Evan Abrams / Bet Labs – Public Fades Humidity = Unders
the average humidity is between 45% and 95%
the home team's 5 Game over percentage is between 0% and 40%
the temperature is between 54 and 97 degrees
the wind direction is From Right or Left To Right or From Left or Right To Left or In or None
the o/u change from open to close is between -1 and 0
the over/under % is between 6% and 29%
the game was played during the 2025 or 2024 or 2023 or 2022 or 2021 or 2020 season
betting on the Under
the game is played during the Regular season
$8,209
WON
300-197-19
RECORD
60%
WIN%

Tigers vs Twins Best Bet

  • Under 7.5 (-115)

Tigers vs Twins Betting Trends



Tigers vs Twins Weather


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About the Author
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