UFC 261 Odds, Pick & Prediction for Dwight Grant vs. Stefan Sekulic (Saturday, April 24)
Josh Hedges/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images. Pictured: UFC fighter Dwight Grant (blue gloves).
- Dwight Grant and Stefan Sekulic go head-to-head on the prelim portion of Saturday's UFC 261 card.
- Both men are coming off losses, but Sekulic is returning from a long layoff entering this fight.
- Sean Zerillo explains why he skeptical of both fighters and details where there is slight value on a prop.
Grant vs. Sekulic Odds
Welterweight prospects Dwight Grant and Stefan Sekulic will meet in the octagon at UFC 261 with both fighters seeking to get back into the win column.
Grant lost his last time out by TKO to Daniel Rodriguez in August, while Sekulic was defeated in his UFC debut by Ramazan Emeev in 2018 and has been inactive since.
Below I preview the matchup and odds for tonight’s fight. For more analysis on the rest of the card, you can check out my projections for the entire slate here.
Tale of the Tape
| Grant | Sekulic | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 10-3 | 12-3 |
| Avg. Fight Time | 8:54 | 15:00 |
| Height | 6’1″ | 6’0″ |
| Weight (pounds) | 170 lbs. | 170 lbs. |
| Reach (inches) | 76″ | 75″ |
| Stance | Switch | Southpaw |
| Date of birth | 9/14/84 | 2/12/92 |
| Sig Strikes Per Min | 3.39 | 1.47 |
| SS Accuracy | 37% | 37% |
| SS Absorbed Per Min | 2.16 | 2.40 |
| SS Defense | 69% | 57% |
| Take Down Avg | 0.34 | 1.00 |
| TD Acc | 100% | 20% |
| TD Def | 78% | 33% |
| Submission Avg | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Grant vs. Sekulic Pick
Grant is completely untrustworthy as this big of a favorite. He’s 37 years old, doesn’t throw a ton of volume, and Sekulic should be the fresher man in the later rounds.
But it’s a difficult matchup to handicap since Sekulic is coming back from a 2.5-year layoff following a PED suspension.
Grant throws with a ton of power, but often ends up in close, ugly decisions when he doesn’t score a finish. He simply doesn’t have the cardio to maintain his output for 15 minutes.
There is slight value on this fight to end inside the distance (listed -160, projected -180), but not quite enough for me to fire — particularly in the larger cage at Vystar Arena. Otherwise, I don’t project actionable value on any either side or any winning method props for this fight.
You can check out the rest of the bets I’ve made for Saturday night’s card here. And don’t forget to follow my picks in the Action Network App to get alerts if/when I make a live bet on tonight’s card.
The Pick: No Bet
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