Pacers vs. Cavaliers Odds & Betting Predictions - May 4, 2025

The Cavaliers kick off the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Indiana Pacers on Sunday. These teams are divisional rivals and have already played four times this season. One player that consistently cooks in this matchup is Donovan Mitchell. Over the last two seasons, Mitchell has played four games against them over the last two seasons and is averaged 31.3 points with 30+ in three of the four games. He consistently gets wherever he wants on the floor. Mitchell is a Playoff riser, and sees not only a minutes bump but a Usage bump in the Postseason. He can score against any defense, but with his familiarity against Indiana, I’m expecting a big game 1 from Donovan.

Last matchup hit 244 in OT — 228 in regulation. Over in 7 of Pacers’ last 8 road games. Indiana also 37-17 to the Over as a dog. Both teams play fast, shoot well, and score in bunches. Style + trends both lean hard toward points. Don’t overthink it. Cavs averaging 122.1 PPG, 124.4 over last 5. Red-hot from deep — 38.6% on 42 attempts, 16 makes per game. Mitchell's been electric (1843 pts), Garland steady (532 ast). Team shoots 49.2% overall. Elite efficiency, volume, and pace = trouble for any D. Pacers bring 117.4 PPG, shoot 48.8% FG, 37% from 3. Haliburton leads with 744 assists. Siakam’s added 1705 pts, key to their flow. Indy loves transition, spreads the floor, pushes tempo. D gives up 114.9 PPG — no stopping Cleveland’s firepower tonight.

Cavs 36-7 at home this season with +11.3 net, best in league with home 1h net +18.1. Pacers road 1h -6.0.