2022 NBA MVP Odds: Luka Doncic Is The Early, Overwhelming Favorite
Photo by Hector Vivas/Getty Images. Pictured: Luka Doncic
2022 NBA MVP odds
Odds as of July 7 and via DraftKings
Luka Doncic is the early (very early) favorite to win the 2022 MVP award in odds that were released this week by DraftKings. The wunderkind averaged 27.7 points, 8.6 assists and 8.0 rebounds over 34.3 minutes per game during the 2021 regular season and finished sixth in MVP voting.
Reigning MVP Nikola Jokic’s early chances to repeat are eighth-best in the league. Only Bill Russell, Wilt Chamberlain, Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, Moses Malone, Larry Bird, Magic Johnson, Michael Jordan, Tim Duncan, Steve Nash, LeBron James, Stephen Curry and Giannis Antetokounmpo have won back-to-back MVPs.
Jokic earned 91 out of 100 first-place votes for MVP last season while averaging 26.4 points, 10.8 rebounds and 8.3 assists per game for a team that finished third in the Western Conference.
The second-best favorite as of July, Joel Embiid, has almost double Doncic’s odds at +700. Embiid finished second in voting in 2021, when he averaged 28.5 points and 10.6 rebounds while shooting 37.7% from three for a team that finished first in the Eastern Conference.
Curry and Antetokounmpo finished third and fourth, respectively, in MVP voting last season. They are both tied for third-best favorites to win their third MVPs at +800.
Curry’s outlook is far more variable with the return of Klay Thompson, who could either cut into Curry’s opportunities or make the two-time MVP even more efficient. In Thompson’s absence, Curry has maintained about the same proficiency from three while substantially increasing his shot output.
Kevin Durant is also tied for third-best favorite at +800. The one-time MVP is coming off a season in which he played just 35 games while recovering from the Achilles’ injury he suffered during the 2019 NBA Finals. By the time the playoffs rolled around, though, Durant’s full skillset was on display again. He averaged 34.3 points and 9.3 rebounds per game during the postseason while shooting better than 40% from three.
Damian Lillard (+1100) and LeBron James (+1100) are the only other players to have odds below 15/1. Sharpshooters Trae Young and Devin Booker are tied at 18/1 to win their first MVP.