The Denver Nuggets (40-26) and San Antonio Spurs (48-17) will square off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 9:00 p.m. ET from the Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, Texas. The game will broadcast live on ALT.
The Spurs are 5.5-point favorites over the Nuggets on the spread (Spurs -5.5), with the over/under set at 236.5 total points. San Antonio is a -225 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Denver is +185 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Nuggets vs. Spurs predictions and NBA picks for Thursday, March 12.
Nuggets vs Spurs Prediction, Pick
- Nuggets vs Spurs pick: Spurs -5.5 (-118)
My Spurs vs. Nuggets best bet is on San Antonio to cover the spread. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Nuggets vs Spurs Odds
| Nuggets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+5.5 -102 | 236.5 -115o / -105u | +185 |
| Spurs Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-5.5 -118 | 236.5 -115o / -105u | -225 |
Nuggets vs Spurs NBA Preview
I like the Spurs -5.5 against the Nuggets tonight — and this is a bet against Denver more than it is a bet on San Antonio.
The Nuggets just played against the Rockets, and this will be their second night of a back-to-back after a physical game against a Houston team that crashes the offensive glass relentlessly.
The Spurs have a bit of a rest advantage and home court. Also, market ratings would make the spread for this game closer to Spurs -6 or Spurs -6.5.
So, the reason why it's lower right now is because Victor Wembanyama is questionable.
However, anytime Wemby's been questionable recently, he's wound up playing, because he clearly covets the MVP award and wants to reach the 65 games required.
Whenever he plays slightly fewer minutes, we know he's exhausted — but there's no actual injury designation tonight; it just says right ankle soreness, so I expect him to play, and I believe this line will get wider once that news becomes official.
So, there's up to a point value given because they are listing Wembanyama as questionable for the game, who's probably worth five points on the spread at this moment — and I actually think he's way closer to probable; I'd give him around an 80% chance to play.
Also, with Denver on the second night of a back-to-back and a lot of their guys just recently recovered, does Aaron Gordon play the second leg tonight? Does Jamal Murray go when he's dealt with some lingering stuff?
Maybe one of those guys sits for the Nuggets, and then this spread would likely jet out to Spurs -7.5 or Spurs -8.
Nuggets vs Spurs Predictions, Betting Analysis
This is a great schedule spot for the Spurs, and we are getting a discounted price.
This is a no-brainer floor spot for the Spurs, unless Wemby ends sitting this one out, but I just don't see that happening.
I trust San Antonio as a very well-orchestrated, structured team. Denver has lacked that kind of structure sometimes, as the Nuggets seemingly rely on pure talent, often missing some of that cohesiveness.
I think Wemby is going to play tonight, and if he does, I think we know how this game will likely turn out.
Pick: Spurs -5.5 (-118, DraftKings)
Spread
My Nuggets vs. Spurs betting prediction is on San Antonio to cover the spread.
Moneyline
I have no play on the moneyline.
Over/Under
I'm not interested in the total tonight.
