The Golden State Warriors (30-28) and Memphis Grizzlies (21-35) will face off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET from FedExForum in Memphis, Tennessee. The game will broadcast live on NBCS-BA.
The Warriors are 3.5-point favorites over the Grizzlies on the spread (Warriors -3.5), with the over/under set at 230.5 total points. Golden State is a -180 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Memphis is +150 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Warriors vs. Grizzlies predictions and NBA picks for Wednesday, February 25.
Warriors vs Grizzlies Prediction
- Warriors vs Grizzlies pick: Warriors -3.5 (-115)
My Grizzlies vs. Warriors best bet is on Golden State to cover the spread. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Warriors vs Grizzlies Odds
| Warriors Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3.5 -115 | 230.5 -110o / -110u | -180 |
| Grizzlies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3.5 -105 | 230.5 -110o / -110u | +150 |
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Warriors vs Grizzlies NBA Preview
Who knows who plays for the Warriors here on the second half of a back-to-back after losing to New Orleans yesterday.
Kristaps Porzingis has been sick again with his rare condition. There’s no Steph Curry for Golden State, and Draymond Green is probably out after playing in the front half of the back-to-back.
However, the Grizzlies are also openly tanking.
There’s no good way to look at this from a side perspective, except that the Warriors want to win and the Grizzlies don’t, having lost six of their last seven games.
The Grizzlies have sat all their veterans, and Cedric Coward is also out with injury. There’s just not a lot left here.
The Warriors may have lost to the Pelicans, but they showed what they are capable of in Sunday's win over the the Nuggets.
The Warriors still shoot a lot of threes, the most in the league, and Memphis gives up the seventh-most threes defensively.
The math game alone benefits the Warriors.
Memphis also is terrible at rim protection because, well, they aren’t playing any centers or really any bigs at all.
So, the Warriors’ back-cuts and lob attempts will be relatively unchallenged.
Warriors vs Grizzlies Predictions, Betting Analysis
Warriors -3.5
Memphis has some sneaky talented guys.
I think Olivier-Maxence Prosper could have a big game tonight, and GG Jackson has enough size to give an undersized Warriors team problems.
But ultimately, the Warriors have enough playoff-caliber rotation guys motivated to get this win after yesterday's loss.
Over 230.5
I like the Over here a lot.
For starters, when the Warriors have rest disadvantage this season, the Over is 9-5.
Memphis is still 10th in pace and continues to try and get into sets quickly and challenge in transition.
With tired legs on the back-to-back road spot, Golden State doesn’t have the legs to keep up with a short rotation.
Of note, the last matchup in early February between these two teams (with Curry out) also went Over (114-113).
The total for tonight's matchup is nine points higher than that game, but I still think this looks like an Over spot, as I have it projected at 230.6.
Warriors vs Grizzlies Best Bets
- Warriors -3.5 (-115)
- Over 230.5 (-110)
Spread
My first Grizzlies vs. Warriors betting prediction is on Golden State to cover the spread at -3.5.
Moneyline
I'm taking the Warriors -3.5 as opposed to targeting the moneyline in this spot.
Over/Under
My second betting prediction for tonight's matchup is a lean toward the Over at 230.5 total points.
