The Memphis Grizzlies (4-8) and Boston Celtics (5-7) will face off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 7:30 p.m. EST from TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts. The game will broadcast live on NBCS-BOS.
The Celtics are 6.5-point favorites over the Grizzlies on the spread (Celtics -6.5), with the over/under set at 229.5 total points. Boston is a -270 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Memphis is +210 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Grizzlies vs. Celtics predictions and NBA picks for Wednesday, November 12.
My Grizzlies vs Celtics Prediction
- Grizzlies vs Celtics pick: Grizzlies +6.5 (-110)
My Celtics vs Grizzlies best bet is on Memphis to cover the spread, with the best price currently available at bet365. But as always, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Grizzlies vs Celtics Odds
| Grizzlies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+6.5 -110 | 230.5 -112o / -108u | +210 |
| Celtics Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-6.5 -110 | 230.5 -112o / -108u | -270 |
Grizzlies vs Celtics NBA Preview
The Celtics are still struggling to reach playoff-caliber form and have played three games in the last five days, including yesterday's narrow 2-point loss to the 76ers.
They also played the Magic twice on Friday and Sunday, losing the first by 13 points and winning the second by four, so they're not exactly an imposing team right now, and maybe the best news is just coming home.
Our Bet Labs system targets home teams facing possible fatigue, such as Boston, and recommends backing the Grizzlies to cover the spread against them.
Overall, the Celtics have a mere +2.1 point differential this season, which aligns with our pick.
Memphis has a -5.6 differential and has not been great on the road so far, with a 1-3 record, but with the line at 6.5, there is value in their chance to cover, particularly against a Boston team that has not performed well at home.
At TD Garden, the Celtics are 2-3 this season, with their only impressive win coming against a Cavaliers team that did not have Darius Garland at the time. Their other home win was against the Wizards.
Grizzlies vs Celtics Prediction, Betting Analysis
The Fading Tired Home Teams system targets NBA regular-season matchups where fatigue and overvaluation intersect, creating an edge for visiting teams.
Home teams that have played multiple games in a short span, often three to five within five days, tend to experience a drop in energy and defensive consistency despite the advantage of being on their own court.
That is the case for the Celtics, who played the Magic twice (Friday and Sunday) and the 76ers yesterday in five days.
The market often overlooks this subtle fatigue effect, assuming comfort at home offsets physical wear, but in reality, quick turnarounds and short rest lead to slower rotations, weaker transition defense, and less efficiency late in games.
Visiting teams facing these tired hosts, particularly when they are more rested and entering the matchup with focus and travel rhythm, tend to outperform expectations against the spread.
This setup consistently rewards bettors who recognize that rest and intensity outweigh location when home favorites are running on fumes.
Pick: Grizzlies +6.5 (-110, bet365)
Celtics vs Grizzlies Betting Trends
