NBA Odds, Picks, Predictions: Best Playoff Bets for 76ers vs. Hawks and Jazz vs. Clippers (Monday, June 14)

NBA Odds, Picks, Predictions: Best Playoff Bets for 76ers vs. Hawks and Jazz vs. Clippers (Monday, June 14) article feature image
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Adam Pantozzi/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Paul George.

  • Monday night features a pair of huge playoff matchups in the NBA.
  • The 76ers look to take a commanding lead over the Hawks, while the Clippers go for a second straight win to even things with the Jazz.
  • Our staff of NBA analysts breaks down its best bets of the night below.

In the NBA Playoffs, Game 4s don’t get nearly as much attention as Game 7s, but it’s common for the fourth game to either swing a series in one direction or extend it into a lengthy battle.

We’ve got two Game 4s on the postseason slate Monday night: 76ers vs. Hawks (7:30 p.m. ET) and Jazz vs. Clippers (10 p.m. ET).

Our NBA analysts are going heavy on the early game but have five bets across both matchups, including two spread bets, two prop-bets and a play on one over/under.

You can find their picks and analysis below.

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NBA Odds & Picks

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76ers vs. Hawks Spread
7:30 p.m. ET
76ers vs. Hawks Spread
7:30 p.m. ET
76ers vs. Atlanta Hawks Prop
7:30 p.m. ET
76ers vs. Hawks Total
7:30 p.m. ET
Jazz vs. Clippers Prop
10 p.m. ET

Philadelphia 76ers vs. Atlanta Hawks

Pick
76ers -3
Book
PointsBet
Tipoff
7:30 p.m. ET
TV
TNT

Brandon Anderson: I think this series is over.

I picked the Hawks in six before the series started, and things looked pretty good after Game 1. Trae Young sliced apart the Philadelphia defense, the Hawks played great team ball, and they stole the opener on the road. Even more importantly, Atlanta won the game without De’Andre Hunter and with a great game from Joel Embiid, who had been listed as questionable.

That put the Hawks in good position for the series, but the injury news afterward flipped this series on its head. Hunter is now out for the season, and his absence leaves a serious hole on the wing for Atlanta, especially with Solomon Hill filling in poorly in his place. And Embiid continues to be listed as questionable but he sure doesn’t look questionable out there.

Embiid is averaging 35.3 points, 10.3 rebounds, and 4.7 assists a game, along with 1.3 steals and 2.3 blocks. He’s been absolutely dominant, and his 35.5 minutes per game show that the knee injury shouldn’t be a concern right now. Atlanta has no answer for Embiid. Clint Capela is outclassed, and the Hawks don’t have anyone else up to the task.

Look at Embiid’s On/Off ratings in each game this series: +13, +14, and +16. With Embiid on the court, the Sixers are in cruise control, and no, Danny Green’s absence isn’t going to change that equation.

Now that we’ve seen three games, that Game 1 Hawks win looks less like a harbinger of things to come and more like an outlier, with a great Atlanta start and just enough to hold on against a better Sixers team.

Philadelphia has a chance to push the Hawks to the brink, and the Sixers now know they can close out Atlanta early and get some much needed rest for Embiid and Green while the Nets and Bucks are tied up at 2-2 and in for a long series.

Philadelphia has to believe its chances at the Finals are looking up. This is not a must-win game for Philly, but it would be a huge win for the Sixers if they’re really going to make a push for the Finals.

Embiid is playing too well right now to pick against him. Trae Young and the Hawks will put up a fight, but I trust the Sixers to win and cover. I’ll play to -4.


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Philadelphia 76ers vs. Atlanta Hawks

Pick
76ers -3
Book
PointsBet
Tipoff
7:30 p.m. ET
TV
TNT

Roberto Arguello: Sometimes winning a series in the NBA playoffs comes down to your best player being more unstoppable than the other team’s best player.

So far in the 76ers-Hawks series, Trae Young was the best player on the court for the first half of Game 1, but since the 76ers adjusted by putting Ben Simmons and Matisse Thybulle on Young as much as possible after halftime, Joel Embiid has been the best player in the last 2.5 games.

Despite the loss in Game 1, the 76ers have outscored the Hawks by between 13 and 16 points in Embiid’s 34-40 minutes per game. The Hawks tried to guard Embiid straight up in Games 1 and 2, but he dominated against Clint Capela as he scored 39 and 40 points.

The Hawks tried doubling him more frequently in Game 3, but Embiid still put up an efficient 27 points on 14 total shots (while also making 12-of-16 free throws) as he added nine rebounds and eight assists.

A key difference between this season’s 76ers is their improved shooting around Embiid. Seth Curry’s addition has been key, and he, Tobias Harris, and Furkan Korkmaz will have opportunities to continue scoring efficiently like they did in Game 3.

The 76ers’ adjustment of putting Simmons and Thybulle on Young has paid dividends as they have stuck much closer to him than Danny Green could while preventing him from getting downhill.

After shooting 20-of-47 3s (42.6%) in Game 1, the Hawks have made just 17-of-53 3s (32.1%) combined in Games 2 and 3 as both their volume and accuracy from beyond the arc have dipped. The Hawks’ 15 total assists in Game 3 were also a season-low.

A key advantage for the Hawks in this series is their perimeter shooting, but if they can’t get quality attempts because Young can’t get downhill frequently enough, the 76ers will win.

The value remains on the 76ers as short underdogs as the Hawks seemingly don’t have an answer to defend Embiid while the Hawks haven’t shown they can counter Simmons and Thybulle’s defense on Young. I like the 76ers at -3. with value down to -4.5.

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Philadelphia 76ers vs. Atlanta Hawks

Pick
Furkan Korkmaz Over 10.5 Points (-117)
Book
DraftKings
Tipoff
7:30 p.m. ET
TV
TNT

Kenny Ducey: The Sixers’ best player in Game 3 may have been Furkan Korkmaz. Filling in after an early injury to Danny Green, the 23-year-old wing played a playoff-high 27 minutes, posting a team-best +24 and scoring 14 points on 4-of-9 shooting.

Well, it turns out that Green’s right calf strain will force him to miss the remainder of this series, and I can’t imagine Korkmaz doesn’t get the opportunity to fill in for him after his Game 3 performance. Not only has he eclipsed 10 points in the two games he played at least 15 minutes, Korkmaz averaged 14 points in the eight games in which he played at least 25 minutes this year.

This is a little bit of a bet that Korkmaz becomes the go-to option in wake of Green’s injury, but I think it’s a pretty safe bet when you consider how trustworthy he’s been this year for Doc Rivers.

Green was more of an offensive option for the Sixers, so the replacement should be Korkmaz as opposed to the defensive-minded Thybulle, who should remain in his same role. I love this over.


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Philadelphia 76ers vs. Atlanta Hawks

Pick
Over 225.5
Book
BetMGM
Tipoff
7:30 p.m. ET
TV
TNT

Raheem Palmer: The 76ers have lost Danny Green for the rest of this playoff series with a right calf strain. Green was no match to guard Trae Young one-on-one, however he is an excellent team defender and will surely be missed.

If there’s a weakness, it’s that offensively he gave Young a place to hide on defensively as he operates solely as a catch-and-shoot player. He will be replaced by Furkan Korkmaz in the starting lineup and that also means more minutes for Shake Milton and Tyrese Maxey who can operate off the dribble.

Overall, I think we should see an improvement offensively but a step back defensively from this team as they’ll miss the veteran presence of Green.

Nonetheless, the 76ers have been downright unstoppable during this series in general. Outside of Game 1 in which they had a 16.3% turnover rate, the 76ers put up an Offensive Rating of 124.3 in Game 2 and 136.1 in Game 3.

The Hawks simply has no answer for Joel Embiid who is scoring 35.3 points per game and given the absence of DeAndre Hunter who is out for the season with a meniscus injury, they also have no answer for Tobias Harris. The 76ers can simply get whatever they want offensively in this series.

The Hawks have looked overmatched since the first half of Game 1 but I see this team likely going smaller and opting to score more. Even with their struggles, the Hawks still put up an Offensive Rating of 119 in Game 3 despite shooting just 6-of-23 (26.1%) from behind the arc.

Although the 76ers defense had a lot to do with that, it’s clear the Hawks can shoot a lot better than they did in Game 3. Overall, these games are trending over even with the Hawks offense not looking the same since the first half of Game 1.

I’ll take the Over 225 as the 76ers should continue scoring while the Hawks should find something offensively in a desperation spot.


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Utah Jazz vs. Los Angeles Clippers

Pick
Paul George Over 2.5 3-pointers
Book
DraftKings
Tipoff
10 p.m. ET
TV
TNT

Joe Dellera: Paul George has quietly had a nice postseason with averages of 24.3 points, 8.6 assists, and 5.3 assists per game on 44.4% shooting.

Although he struggled against the Mavericks from distance, George has been known to run hot and cold from the field, and last game he nailed 6 of 10 3 point attempts to raise his 3-point percentage in this series to 43.6%.

The opportunities are there for George, and the Clippers are taking 39.6% of their shots against the Jazz from 3-point range in an effort to pull Rudy Gobert out to the perimeter, an area where he is not nearly as imposing of a defensive presence.

This coupled with the injury to Donovan Mitchell’s ankle, and the uncertainty around Mike Conley’s return from a hamstring injury give me reason to believe George will have ample opportunities for open 3s.

I’m expecting George to play a large role in another impressive performance by the Clippers and I’m taking the over on his 3-point prop.


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