We have an absolutely loaded NBA slate on Monday night, with nine games set to be played.
Below, I will break down two favorable betting spots that I'll target in a 2-leg moneyline parlay.
If you want to find real value on a daily NBA slate, you have to be willing to back the 'dogs. I've looked closely at tonight's matchups, schedule spots, and rotational advantages to find teams the market is currently undervaluing.
Let's get into my NBA moneyline underdog picks and predictions for Monday, October 26.
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NBA Moneyline Picks for Monday, October 26
- Jazz Moneyline (-110)
- Timberwolves Moneyline (+170)
Grizzlies vs Jazz Moneyline Pick
The Jazz will host the Grizzlies on Monday night at home, the Delta Center, in Salt Lake City, and will look to bounce back after dropping two of its first three contests of the season.
Meanwhile, Memphis enters tonight’s matchup with an undefeated 3-0 record despite having one of the league's lowest win totals before the season.
Both teams are currently at -110 on the moneyline.
With such low preseason expectations for the Griz after moving Ja Morant and Jaren Jackson Jr. this past offseason, guard Ty Jerome has been a surprise, exploding for nearly 35 points per game and leading the NBA in scoring.
In addition to Monday’s game being a revenge spot for now-Jazz center Jaren Jackson Jr., the two Western Conference foes have already met this season, with the Griz cruising to a convincing 20-point win in its season opener.
Though the Jazz have been far from impressive so far, the team led by head coach Will Hardy boasts plenty of young talent throughout its rotation.
PG Keyonte George has been phenomenal, posting 21.7 PPG this season, with over eight assists and four rebounds.
George has thrived alongside rookie 2-guard Darryn Peterson, who I expect to have to heat up soon, despite having been largely unimpressive over the team’s first three games, and end up having a monster year.
SF Ace Bailey has been rather impressive over the first three games of his sophomore campaign, boasting a remarkably versatile skill set.
On the Grizzlies, although rookie Cam Boozer is off to a scorching start, he faces a tough frontcourt matchup with Lauri Markkanen and Jaren Jackson making a big impact down low.
I expect Hardy to have a far more prepared game plan for defending Ty Jerome, who put up a whopping 45 points in the first matchup.
With Memphis also traveling to Salt Lake City on limited rest after playing the Lakers on the road last night, fatigue will likely play a role, especially with Grizzlies center Zach Edey possibly not suiting up on Monday.
The Jazz may have one of the league's most underrated rotations, with guards Isiah Collier and Brice Sensabaugh, and center Jaxon Hayes, who has also made an immediate impact off the bench.
I expect Utah to really rise to the occasion on Monday night in a true revenge spot versus a Grizzlies bunch facing a back-to-back and a lineup with far less depth.
Pick: Utah Jazz ML (-110)
Timberwolves vs Cavaliers Moneyline Pick
The Timberwolves hit the road Monday night to duke it out with the Cavaliers at Rocket Arena in Cleveland.
Though Minnesota enters with a 3-0 overall record under head coach Chris Finch, the Cavs remain a 4.5-point home favorite, looking for their second win after splitting their first two contests.
It was quite the offseason for the Wolves, who landed former Hornets guard LaMelo Ball in a blockbuster four-team deal.
The Anthony Edwards and LaMelo Ball duo has been unstoppable in Minnesota’s first three games, winning each by an average margin of over 23 points.
Ant scored a whopping 45 points in their opening victory, and currently ranks sixth in the league with 28.7 PPG.
While many speculated how LaMelo would fare in a role that requires less statistical output than his ball-dominant style in Charlotte, his versatility has been on full display, dishing out 6.3 assists per game.
Meanwhile, the Cavs bounced back in a big way, defeating the Nets by four points at home after an opening loss to a new-look Sixers squad featuring LeBron James and Jaylen Brown.
It was far from pretty, though, as the Cavs narrowly escaped with a win over a Nets team still searching for a new identity.
Donovan Mitchell has looked spectacular in both games so far, averaging 27 PPG, which ranks inside the top-10 in the NBA.
The same can't be said of his backcourt mate, James Harden, who is posting career lows across the board, shooting just 30% from the field in his first two games.
The Cavs have undoubtedly boasted impressive lineups over the last few years, but they haven't made any impact in the postseason.
While many remain very high on a team still boasting an elite defensive frontcourt featuring Jarrett Allen and Evan Mobley, I have my reservations and think Cleveland may have missed its window as a top contender.
Despite Mitchell being one of the NBA's premier scorers, I feel this Cavs team is still overvalued in betting markets, with a core that has remained largely unchanged over the last several seasons.
From a pure matchup perspective, while both Mobley and Allen thrive at both ends of the floor, the Wolves also have an elite defensive frontcourt featuring center Rudy Gobert, one of the best overall defenders in the world.
Given how impressive the new-look Wolves have been over their first three games this season, I think a +150 price tag or more is quite disrespectful for a squad that could actually be the best team in the league.
I simply can't pass up Minnesota at this number, and I'll happily hop on the Wolves moneyline to round out our value parlay for Monday night.
Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves ML (+170)
Monday ML Parlay
Odds: +415 (DraftKings)
