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NBA Player Prop Bets & Expert Picks for Christmas: Fade James Harden in 76ers vs. Knicks (December 25)

NBA Player Prop Bets & Expert Picks for Christmas: Fade James Harden in 76ers vs. Knicks (December 25) article feature image

Mitchell Leff/Getty Images. Pictured: James Harden #1 of the Philadelphia 76ers passes the ball against RJ Barrett #9 of the New York.

  • The Knicks host the 76ers on Christmas Day at Madison Square Garden, and Malik Smith has a prop bet for James Harden.
  • With Quentin Grimes guarding him, Smith is focusing on Harden's total turnovers prop.
  • Find his analysis and best prop bet for this matchup below.

NBA Player Props & Picks

James Harden, Over 3.5 Turnovers (+108)

Spread76ers -2.5
Time | TV12 p.m. ET | ABC
Best LineCaesars

They say Christmas is all about giving and James Harden has been in the giving mood all month.

Since he returned to the Sixers’ lineup in early December, he's been dishing like crazy, averaging 12.0 assists over the past eight games. He's also giving the ball away a ton, too. Harden is averaging 4.8 assists over that same span, the most in the NBA, and has only gone under this number once in those eight games. It's awesome when he gets 21 dimes like he did on Friday, but it's clear that passing will come with some turnovers on the side.

On Christmas Day, he'll likely be guarded on most of his possessions by Knicks 3-and-D wing Quentin Grimes, who does a great job of creating ball pressure at the point of attack. If Harden tries to put Grimes in the pick-and-roll, the Knicks guard also gets over screens well and can force Harden into bad passes.

Overall, Harden has turned the ball over 38 times since he returned and 26 of those have been steals, so I'll also be looking at the Steals + Blocks line for Grimes (Over 1.5, +108). Since being inserted into the Knicks' starting lineup, Grimes has notched at least two stocks in seven of his 16 games.

Regardless, I expect Harden will be in a giving mood, and the Knicks should benefit.

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Nick Sterling
Feb 26, 2024 UTC