Rockets vs. Lakers PRO Report: Sharp Action, Big Bets Moving Game 5 Over/Under (Saturday, Sept. 12)
Jesse D. Garrabrant/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Russell Westbrook and James Harden
- Thirteen points: The difference between the Lakers-Rockets opening over/under for Game 1 and the current total for Game 5.
- These teams have gone under the total in three of their four games so far this series, but what's the sharp angle now?
- Danny Donahue details how pros are betting Saturday night's total.
Rockets vs. Lakers Game 5 Odds
|Rockets Odds||+6.5 [Bet Now]|
|Lakers Odds||-6.5 [Bet Now]|
|Moneyline||+220/-270 [Bet Now]|
|Over/Under||216 [Bet Now]|
|Time||8 p.m. ET|
Four games into this Rockets vs. Lakers series and it’s seen a Game 1 closing total of 227.5 chopped down to an opener of 214.5 for Saturday night’s Game 5. The under is 3-1 thus far in this series, with an average point total of 214.75 (hence that opener).
But has the adjustment now gone too far? Our new PRO Report feature suggests that sharps seem to think so.
Rockets vs. Lakers Game 5 PRO Report
As you’ve probably noticed, this total no longer sits at 214.5. Most of the betting market has bumped it up to 216, and big bets from sharps have been a driving force in that move.
Bettors are relatively split on this total, with 52% preferring the over. And in such a case, it usually takes some action from respected bettors to cause a significant line move.
In this case, that action was confirmed by a Sports Insights Bet Signal in the form of a steam move. Steam refers to a sudden, drastic market shift that comes as a result of heavy action on the same side of a bet over a short period of time, and is a strong sharp indicator.
Sharp Action edge: Over
Check out our new NBA PRO Report, where we highlight factors that provide betting edges — like large wagers, historically profitable betting systems, model projections and expert picks — that when combined with sharp money can powerfully detail the smartest bets on a given slate.
Also helping to push this line — on top of proving another hint toward the sharp side — has been the discrepancy between bets and money hitting the total.
The 52% backing of the over has generated 83% of actual dollars, which certainly creates a monetary liability for sportsbooks. Perhaps more importantly, though, it reveals the opinion of big bettors — the ones more likely to be sharps.
Big Money edge: Over
Best odds available at BetMGM [Bet Now]