Rockets vs. Lakers PRO Report: Sharp Action, Big Bets Moving Game 5 Over/Under (Saturday, Sept. 12)

Credit:

Jesse D. Garrabrant/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Russell Westbrook and James Harden

  • Thirteen points: The difference between the Lakers-Rockets opening over/under for Game 1 and the current total for Game 5.
  • These teams have gone under the total in three of their four games so far this series, but what's the sharp angle now?
  • Danny Donahue details how pros are betting Saturday night's total.

Rockets vs. Lakers Game 5 Odds

Rockets Odds +6.5 [Bet Now]
Lakers Odds -6.5 [Bet Now]
Moneyline +220/-270 [Bet Now]
Over/Under 216 [Bet Now]
Time 8 p.m. ET
TV ESPN

Odds as of noon ET on Saturday and via FanDuel. Get up to a $1,000 risk-free bet at FanDuel today or see more offers and reviews for the best online sportsbooks.


Four games into this Rockets vs. Lakers series and it’s seen a Game 1 closing total of 227.5 chopped down to an opener of 214.5 for Saturday night’s Game 5. The under is 3-1 thus far in this series, with an average point total of 214.75 (hence that opener).

But has the adjustment now gone too far? Our new PRO Report feature suggests that sharps seem to think so.


Rockets vs. Lakers Game 5 PRO Report

As you’ve probably noticed, this total no longer sits at 214.5. Most of the betting market has bumped it up to 216, and big bets from sharps have been a driving force in that move.

Sharp Action

Bettors are relatively split on this total, with 52% preferring the over. And in such a case, it usually takes some action from respected bettors to cause a significant line move.

In this case, that action was confirmed by a Sports Insights Bet Signal in the form of a steam move. Steam refers to a sudden, drastic market shift that comes as a result of heavy action on the same side of a bet over a short period of time, and is a strong sharp indicator.

Sharp Action edge: Over


Check out our new NBA PRO Report, where we highlight factors that provide betting edges — like large wagers, historically profitable betting systems, model projections and expert picks — that when combined with sharp money can powerfully detail the smartest bets on a given slate.


Big Money

Also helping to push this line — on top of proving another hint toward the sharp side — has been the discrepancy between bets and money hitting the total.

The 52% backing of the over has generated 83% of actual dollars, which certainly creates a monetary liability for sportsbooks. Perhaps more importantly, though, it reveals the opinion of big bettors — the ones more likely to be sharps.

Big Money edge: Over

Best odds available at BetMGM [Bet Now]

How would you rate this article?

Top Offers

Odds Boosts
See More >
Odds boosts are simply regular bets offered at enticing odds. They're available to everyone and there's no limit to how many you can bet.
Sportsbook Reviews
See More >
Discover the best online sports betting sites and take advantage of bonus offers from legal sportsbooks.
Expert Picks
See More >
See what plays the Action Network experts are making for all of today's games.
PRO Membership
See More >
Access betting systems and signals to get daily, actionable picks.
Download the App
See More >
Download the Action app to track all your bets in one place. Exclusive data helped you make smarter betting decisions.
Newsletter
See More >
The best sports betting newsletter with trends, insights and news - condensed in a two-minute read.
Live Odds
See More >
See live odds and the best lines for every game.

Follow Us On Social

Top Stories