The Sacramento Kings (13-47) and Dallas Mavericks (21-36) will face off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 8:30 p.m. ET from the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. The game will broadcast live on KFAA.
The Mavericks are 7-point favorites over the Kings on the spread (Mavericks -7), with the over/under set at 234.5 total points. Dallas is a -270 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Sacramento is +220 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Kings vs. Mavericks predictions and NBA picks for Thursday, February 26.
Kings vs Mavericks Prediction
- Kings vs Mavericks pick: Mavericks -7 (-110)
My Mavericks vs Kings best bet is on Dallas to cover the spread. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Kings vs Mavericks Odds
| Kings Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+7 -110 | 234.5 -110o / -110u | +220 |
| Mavericks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-7 -110 | 234.5 -110o / -110u | -270 |
Kings vs Mavericks NBA Preview
The Mavericks have a 21-36 record and have lost eight of their last 10 games.
However, the two victories have been their last two games, both on the road, and now the Mavericks will return to the American Airlines Center, where they tend to play much better.
That's why our Bet Labs "Bet Struggling Favorites" system has signaled Dallas as the team to cover the spread tonight.
For their lousy overall record, the Mavs have at least a decent one at home with 14 wins and 16 losses.
The Kings, on the other hand, have the worst away record in the NBA with 4-27.
Keegan Murray is day-to-day with an ankle sprain for Sacramento, while Dallas has Khris Middleton (shoulder) and Daniel Gafford (ankle) with the same status and has ruled out Cooper Flagg (foot) and P.J. Washington (ankle).
Kings vs Mavericks Predictions, Betting Analysis
This system identifies value in NBA conference games where favorites are struggling but still favored by the market.
When a team has recently underperformed yet remains favored, it suggests the betting line reflects long-term strength rather than short-term results.
These situations often create buying opportunities on quality teams that are due for positive regression after a rough stretch.
Facing familiar conference opponents adds familiarity and stability to performance expectations, while moderate spreads and balanced totals keep volatility in check.
This approach capitalizes on the overreaction to recent form, betting on strong teams to rebound once market sentiment has dipped too far against them.
Pick: Mavericks -7 (-110, bet365)
Spread
My Kings vs. Mavericks betting prediction is on Dallas to cover the spread (-7) at -110.
Moneyline
I'm not interested in the moneyline tonight.
Over/Under
I have no play on the total for this game.
