NBA Playoffs Betting Odds, Picks and Predictions: Trail Blazers vs. Lakers Game 5 (Saturday, Aug. 29)
Garrett Ellwood/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: LeBron James #23 of the Los Angeles Lakers.
- The Lakers take on the Blazers in what could be the series' deciding game.
- Brandon Anderson likes a first-half bet and a prop bet in Saturday night's contest.
- Check out Anderson's full preview with updated odds, picks, and predictions ahead of tip.
Trail Blazers vs. Lakers Odds
|Trail Blazers Odds||+12.5 [BET NOW]|
|Lakers Odds||-12.5 [BET NOW]|
|Moneyline||+700/-1000 [BET NOW]|
|Over/Under||223.5 [BET NOW]|
|Time||9 p.m. ET|
Well, it was fun while it lasted.
The Portland Trail Blazers had a tremendous run in the Orlando bubble. Damian Lillard said it wasn’t worth coming if they weren’t going to win games, and Portland won a whole lot of games. They won eight of their first 10 in Orlando, beating Memphis to the No. 8 seed and even upsetting the Lakers in Game 1.
And then they ran out of gas.
If you’ve watched Portland play these last couple games, you can almost see the fumes rising from the Blazers. They have nothing left, especially by the second half, and now they’re also missing Damian Lillard. Dame is out for at least Game 5 with a sprained knee, and unless the Blazers pull off a miracle without him, that will be the end of their inspiring run.
Portland Trail Blazers
No team in the NBA needed to catch their breath more than the Blazers, who had been playing near-knockout playoff games for three weeks straight and whose starters were run ragged. But even the extra rest can’t save Portland now.
Remember when the Blazers won Game 1 and we thought they might actually have a chance in this series? It turns out the Lakers just missed a billion shots. It’s been Portland who’s missing all the shots since then. The Blazers have played 13 meaningful quarters this series. They’ve scored 30 points in just one of those quarters, and that was the very first one.
Lillard is the best player on this roster by a mile. That’s why he was the Bubble MVP, and it’s why Portland has no chance without him. Don’t forget, the Blazers are missing three starters now, with Trevor Ariza and Zach Collins also out. Portland is just outgunned without Dame. They were outgunned with him.
C.J. McCollum has struggled in games where he is forced to run point, and Anfernee Simons has been a disaster all season. This will be one long game of those two and Carmelo Anthony taking turns jacking iso jumpers all game. Unless one of them gets hot, and I mean really hot, this could be over quickly.
Los Angeles Lakers
The Lakers still aren’t scoring well, especially considering how weak the Blazers defense is, but they are winning this series with outstanding defense. Portland is missing shots, but credit LA for pushing them into bad shots and for limiting Dame as much as they did before his injury.
Anthony Davis has quietly dominated the series with efficient offense and outstanding defense, and LeBron James is averaging a triple-double through four games. Usually the Lakers need their role players to hit enough shots so the two superstars don’t have to do things on their own, but against Portland without Dame, just The Brow and LeBron should be enough.
And don’t forget — Portland may have needed to catch their break, but old man LeBron just got a half a week off too, and he knows he’ll get another half a week once he takes care of business here.
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The Lakers are going to win and close out this series. Unless C.J., Melo, and Gary Trent Jr. get super hot and the Lakers go ice cold again, there’s just no other path to a Portland victory. With the other Western Conference series suddenly competitive, this is a chance for the Lakers to grab a serious rest advantage, and LeBron knows how valuable that will be. Too valuable to mess around.
There’s one prop I love in this game, and it is sheer instinct. I’m all over Carmelo Anthony’s points. At age 36, this could well end up being Melo’s last game ever, and it’s against his buddy LeBron. Portland is out of options. What’s going to stop Melo from jacking up 20 or 25 shots on his way out? They honestly can’t set Melo’s points prop high enough. Over 17.5? Seriously? I expect him to score in the 20s.
In the end, I don’t expect this to be competitive. I like the Lakers to effectively end things by halftime, so I’m playing LA -8.5 first half. I don’t want to miss with the backdoor cover later on once Dion Waiters and J.R. Smith are protecting my lead. I expect the Lakers to lead by double digits at the half, so I’d play up to -9.
The Picks: Lakers -8.5 1H | Carmelo Anthony over 17.5 points