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NCAA Tournament Odds: Expert Projection on Sweet 16 Spreads, Over/Unders

NCAA Tournament Odds: Expert Projection on Sweet 16 Spreads, Over/Unders article feature image

Dylan Buell/Getty Images. Pictured: Tyson Walker (left) and Tom Izzo.

After two rounds that featured some stellar matchups, it’s onto the Sweet 16.

I’ve updated my ratings and have compiled my projections for all eight matchups, which will be played on Thursday and Friday. Check out how my numbers compare to the odds being offered at bet365. You can access the latest odds for the NCAA Tournament here.

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All odds as of 12:15 a.m. ET on Monday morning.

West Region

No. 4 UConn vs. No. 8 Arkansas

Koerner’s Projected SpreadUConn -3.5
Actual SpreadUConn -4
Koerner’s Projected Over/Under140
Actual Over/Under139.5
Odds via bet365.

No. 2 UCLA vs. No. 3 Gonzaga

Koerner’s Projected SpreadUCLA -1
Actual SpreadUCLA -1
Koerner’s Projected Over/Under146.5
Actual Over/Under145.5
Odds via DraftKings.
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South Region

No. 1 Alabama vs. No. 5 San Diego State

Koerner’s Projected SpreadAlabama -8
Actual SpreadAlabama -7
Koerner’s Projected Over/Under135.5
Actual Over/Under135
Odds via bet365.

No. 6 Creighton vs. No. 15 Princeton

Koerner’s Projected SpreadCreighton -10
Actual SpreadCreighton -10
Koerner’s Projected Over/Under139.5
Actual Over/Under140
Odds via bet365.

East Region

No. 4 Tennessee vs. No. 9 Florida Atlantic

Koerner’s Projected SpreadTennessee -4
Actual SpreadTennessee -5.5
Koerner’s Projected Over/Under129
Actual Over/Under131
Odds via bet365.

No. 3 Kansas State vs. No. 7 Michigan State

Koerner’s Projected SpreadMSU -0.5
Actual SpreadMSU -1
Koerner’s Projected Over/Under137
Actual Over/Under137.5
Odds via bet365.

Midwest Region

No. 1 Houston vs. No. 5 Miami (FL)

Koerner’s Projected SpreadHouston -7
Actual SpreadHouston -7
Koerner’s Projected Over/Under142
Actual Over/Under138.5
Odds via bet365.

No. 2 Texas vs. No. 3 Xavier

Koerner’s Projected SpreadTexas -3.5
Actual SpreadTexas -4
Koerner’s Projected Over/Under148.5
Actual Over/Under147.5
Odds via bet365.

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