NCAA Tournament Odds: Expert Projection on Sweet 16 Spreads, Over/Unders

NCAAB

Credit:

Dylan Buell/Getty Images. Pictured: Tyson Walker (left) and Tom Izzo.

Sean Koerner

Updated:

Mar 20, 2023, 12:33 AM EDT

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After two rounds that featured some stellar matchups, it's onto the Sweet 16.

I've updated my ratings and have compiled my projections for all eight matchups, which will be played on Thursday and Friday. Check out how my numbers compare to the odds being offered at bet365. You can access the latest odds for the NCAA Tournament here.

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All odds as of 12:15 a.m. ET on Monday morning.

West Region

No. 4 UConn vs. No. 8 Arkansas

Koerner's Projected Spread	UConn -3.5
Actual Spread	UConn -4
Koerner's Projected Over/Under	140
Actual Over/Under	139.5
Odds via bet365.

No. 2 UCLA vs. No. 3 Gonzaga

Koerner's Projected Spread	UCLA -1
Actual Spread	UCLA -1
Koerner's Projected Over/Under	146.5
Actual Over/Under	145.5
Odds via DraftKings.

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South Region

No. 1 Alabama vs. No. 5 San Diego State

Koerner's Projected Spread	Alabama -8
Actual Spread	Alabama -7
Koerner's Projected Over/Under	135.5
Actual Over/Under	135
Odds via bet365.

No. 6 Creighton vs. No. 15 Princeton

Koerner's Projected Spread	Creighton -10
Actual Spread	Creighton -10
Koerner's Projected Over/Under	139.5
Actual Over/Under	140
Odds via bet365.

East Region

No. 4 Tennessee vs. No. 9 Florida Atlantic

Koerner's Projected Spread	Tennessee -4
Actual Spread	Tennessee -5.5
Koerner's Projected Over/Under	129
Actual Over/Under	131
Odds via bet365.

No. 3 Kansas State vs. No. 7 Michigan State

Koerner's Projected Spread	MSU -0.5
Actual Spread	MSU -1
Koerner's Projected Over/Under	137
Actual Over/Under	137.5
Odds via bet365.

Midwest Region

No. 1 Houston vs. No. 5 Miami (FL)

Koerner's Projected Spread	Houston -7
Actual Spread	Houston -7
Koerner's Projected Over/Under	142
Actual Over/Under	138.5
Odds via bet365.

No. 2 Texas vs. No. 3 Xavier

Koerner's Projected Spread	Texas -3.5
Actual Spread	Texas -4
Koerner's Projected Over/Under	148.5
Actual Over/Under	147.5
Odds via bet365.

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