E. Michigan vs. UMass Odds & Betting Predictions - October 3, 2026

E. Michigan at UMass

7:30 pm • ESPN+
38 - 14

E. Michigan at UMass Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
E. Michigan
4-5
+2.5
+5.5-110
o48.5-115
+185
UMass
4-4
u48.5
-5.5-110
u48.5-108
-225
location pinSaturday 7:30 p.m.
October 03, 2026
Warren McGuirk Alumni StadiumAmherst
E. Michigan vs. UMass Expert Picks
Jeremiah Rose
Jeremiah Rose
Last 30d: 50-64-2 (-5.0u)
EMU +6-110
0.27u
Boomer’s Book
Duck
Duck
Last 30d: 105-79-2 (+10.9u)
Under 49.5-115
1u
Mike Calabrese
Mike Calabrese
Last 30d: 44-59-0 (+1.8u)
EMU +208
1u
UMass, UMass, UMass that’s all I hear about around the BBOC HQ. They’ve already cashed their season win total over. They’re fourth in the MAC futures market at 8:1. They got Pop Watson, who is the embodiment of why G6 football is cool. A sawed off dual threat, with a big ego and even bigger stats.  But….how much is this Rutgers upset worth? Because outside of that insane upset, they’ve beaten two FCS foes and Sacramento State. Bill Connelly’s SP+ Top 722, which is every college that plays football in these United States, outside of JUCOs, Sac State 153rd, Sacred Heart 257th, Stonehill 335th…Rutgers 75th. A murderer’s row this was not.  I have what I need in an upset, formula wise. Coach I believe in, check. Chris Creighton is the third most profitable MAC coach dating back to 2014. As a dog he cashes nearly 59% of the time, with 27 outright wins as a dog, tied fifth most in the past 12 seasons.  Next up, I got a QB I believe in. Noah Kim started against three top MAC schools last year (Miami, Western, Ohio) and tossed 8 touchdowns, rushed another one in and completed 61% of his attempts. He was good enough to keep them in it is my point and this year he’s been the same guy against G6/FCS competition. I don’t care what Wisconsin and Michigan State did to this team.  I don’t believe UMass is as good as their metrics say because of the schedule. Is this really a top 25 pass defense, with an elite pass rush or have they been playing against bags of leaves where offensive linemen should be lining up?  
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 146-138-9 (+10.7u)
MASS -5.5-108
1.08u
Alex Hinton
Alex Hinton
Last 30d: 98-105-1 (-3.8u)
MASS -5.5-108
0.5u

E. Michigan vs. UMass Previews & Analysis

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Prop Odds Comparison

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E. Michigan vs. UMass Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

E. Michigan

Public

29%

Bets%

71%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
UMass
4-42-22-22-22-2
E. Michigan
4-52-22-32-22-3

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
UMass
2-61-31-31-31-3
E. Michigan
2-70-42-30-42-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
UMass
4-4N/AN/A3-11-3
E. Michigan
4-5N/AN/A3-11-4

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Sep 27th@SACW 35-6-6 WU 49.5MASS -218
Sep 19thSTHLW 36-14-30.5 LU 50.5MASS -20000
Sep 12thSCHW 37-10-23.5 WU 53.5MASS -2500
Sep 3rd@RUTW 37-21+29.5 WO 54.5MASS +2341
Nov 25thBGSUL 14-45+14 LO 44.5BGSU +395
Team Stats
411
Total Yards
316
69
Total Plays
52
5.956521739130435
Yards Per Play
6.076923076923077
219
YDS
210
21/30
Comps/Atts
20/27
7.3
YPA
7.777777777777778
2/0
TDs/INTs
1/1
0/0
Sacks/Yards
0/0
192
Rush Yards
106
39
Attempts
25
4.923076923076923
YPC
4.24
3
TDs
1
0
Fumbles Lost
1
0
Interceptions
1
5/5 100%
Redzone
1/2 50%
11/14 0%
3rd Down
6/10 0%
1/1 0%
4th Down
0/1 0%

First Downs

26
Total
18
12
Pass
12
10
Rush
5
4
Penalty
1
6/70
Penalties/Yards
6/59

E. Michigan vs. UMass Odds Comparison

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E. Michigan at UMass Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
E. Michigan
4-5
N/A
N/A
UMass
4-4
N/A
N/A