Camellia Bowl Odds: FIU vs. Arkansas State Spread, Over/Under & Our Projections

Camellia Bowl Odds: FIU vs. Arkansas State Spread, Over/Under & Our Projections article feature image
Credit:

Dale Zanine, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Logan Bonner

Camellia Bowl Odds: FIU vs. Arkansas State

  • Odds: Arkansas State -3
  • Over/Under: 62
  • Date: Saturday, Dec. 21, 2019
  • Time: 5:30 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: ESPN
  • Location: Montgomery, Alabama

Odds as of Sunday afternoon. Get live college football odds here.

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FIU Betting Stats & 2019 Season Profile

  • Season Record: 6-6
  • Against-the-Spread Record: 4-8
  • Conference: Conference USA
  • Offense Yards Per Play Rank: 85
  • Defense Yards Per Play Rank: 67
  • S&P+ Special Teams Rank: 55

Analysis: It didn’t look like FIU would reach a bowl game, as the Panthers sat at 5-5 with games left against Miami and Florida Atlantic. But FIU shocked the Hurricanes as a three-touchdown underdog to get bowl eligible. This team largely disappointed, as it was expected to compete for a Conference USA title behind senior quarterback James Morgan. He averaged just 7.0 yards per attempt and threw 13 touchdowns. The offense ended the season in poor form, not topping 5.2 yards per play in any of their final five games. The FIU defense was much, much better against the pass than the run, ranking 35th in passing success rate and 100th in rushing success rate. — Steve Petrella

All stats are regular season only


Arkansas State Betting Stats & 2019 Season Profile

  • Season Record: 7-5
  • Against-the-Spread Record: 5-7
  • Conference: Sun Belt
  • Offense Yards Per Play Rank: 39
  • Defense Yards Per Play Rank: 97
  • S&P+ Special Teams Rank: 37

Analysis: With SMU and Georgia making up two of Arkansas State’s first three opponents, a 1-2 start was going to be tough to avoid. From that point, though, the Red Wolves won six of their next eight before dropping their season finale to South Alabama. With a 105th ranked defense (SP+) that allowed 6.12 yards per play, Arkansas State relied on its offense to become bowl eligible — specifically wide receiver Omar Bayless. Bayless’ 1,473 yards led the entire nation, and the Wolves had two other pass-catchers among the Sun Belt’s top five. Behind center, quarterback Layne Hatcher led the conference in completion percentage (68.3%) and yards per attempt (9.9), and sported a 23-to-9 touchdown to interception ratio. –Danny Donahue

All stats are regular season only


Camellia Bowl Projections & Picks

  • Our projected spread: Arkansas State -2
  • Our projected over/under: 53.02

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