Arizona State vs Washington Picks & Odds: Fireworks in Seattle?
Christian Petersen/Getty Images. Pictured: Washington’s Rome Odunze.
Arizona State vs Washington Odds
| Arizona State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+27.5 -110 | 60.5 -110o / -110u | +1500 |
| Washington Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-27.5 -110 | 60.5 -110o / -110u | -5000 |
Last week, Washington's matchup with Oregon received game-of-the-year hype, and it certainly delivered.
The Huskies rallied for a 36-33 victory on an 18-yard Rome Odunze touchdown reception from Michael Penix Jr. The late victory also gave Penix an early Heisman moment, as he's now -140 to win the award.
Washington improved to 6-0 with the win and finds itself up to No. 5 in the AP Top 25.
The Huskies will now welcome Arizona State to town.
The 1-5 Sun Devils are coming off a bye and enter this matchup as heavy underdogs against the Huskies. However, they've both won and covered two of the past three meetings.
Washington is coming off an emotional victory over a rival, so could a potential letdown impact the offense?
Arizona State scored 45 points in last year's victory over Washington.
However, the Huskies will face a completely different team this year. This year's ASU team has 78 new players, including two new quarterbacks in Notre Dame transfer Drew Pyne and freshman Jaden Rashada. Both have been injured, and Rashada may take a redshirt year.
Head coach Kenny Dillingham has gone back to junior Trenton Bourguet, who has thrown for 300 yards in each of the past two games and threw three touchdown passes against the Huskies last season. In this year's matchup, his offensive line could be in flux.
Dillingham has already said his team will be without offensive lineman Bram Walden. Several others are questionable, but Isaia Glass is on track to play after missing the past five games.
Dillingham may lean on his rushing attack to keep Penix and company off the field. Sacramento State transfer Cameron Skattebo leads the team with 362 rushing yards and five touchdowns and is also a threat in the passing game with 16 receptions for 245 yards.
Junior DeCarlos Brooks may also be back this week after missing the past four games.
Washington's receiving corps will get the attention in this game. However, junior Elijhah Badger has 33 receptions for 422 yards and two touchdowns and is coming off a 12-catch, 134-yard performance against Colorado.
Many teams have struggled to defend Washington this year, and Arizona State likely will as well. The Sun Devils are 114th in Line Yards and 89th in Havoc, which means they'll likely be unable to pressure Penix.
To illustrate how good Penix has been good this year, think about the fact that he had his season low in both completion percentage and passing yards against Oregon. Yet, he still threw for 302 yards and four touchdowns.
The Heisman favorite ranks in the top three nationally in completion percentage, yards per attempt, touchdown passes and QBR.
Washington ranks second in the FBS in Passing Success Rate and although Penix has one of the nation's best receiving corps at his disposal, the group may not be at full strength this week.
Standout Jalen McMillan battled an injury coming into the Oregon game and was played only a couple of snaps. His status is unknown for this week.
Penix may target receiver Rome Odunze even more this week, and that's never a bad idea. The junior ranks fourth nationally with 736 receiving yards and six touchdowns.
Ja'Lynn Polk is averaging over 18 yards per catch this year and posted 118 yards and a score against the Ducks.
Running back Dillon Johnson also stepped up and had the first 100-yard game of his career last week. Washington runs the ball just 40% of the time but sits seventh in Rushing Success Rate and 30th in Havoc Allowed.
The Huskies will have an advantage in the trenches this week, which will lead to another productive night.
Washington has consistently had one of the nation's top secondaries, and this year is no different. It ranks 26th in coverage, according to PFF, and sits 18th in Defensive Passing Success Rate.
However, UW's defense ranks 115th or lower in Havoc, Line Yards and Rushing Success Rate. It will be hard for ASU to keep up with the Huskies, but the Sun Devils will have opportunities to put up points.
Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Arizona State and Washington match up statistically:
Arizona State Offense vs. Washington Defense
 | Offense | Defense | Edge |
| Rush Success | 100 | 119 | |
| Line Yards | 96 | 125 | |
| Pass Success | 118 | 18 | |
| Havoc | 111 | 115 | |
| Finishing Drives | 91 | 67 | |
| Quality Drives | 112 | 48 |
Washington Offense vs. Arizona State Defense
| Offense | Defense | Edge |
| Rush Success | 7 | 74 | |
| Line Yards | 58 | 114 | |
| Pass Success | 2 | 32 | |
| Havoc | 30 | 89 | |
| Finishing Drives | 8 | 96 | |
| Quality Drives | 3 | 113 |
Pace of Play / Other
| ||
| PFF Tackling | 54 | 92 |
| PFF Coverage | 96 | 26 |
| Special Teams SP+ | 74 | 28 |
| Middle 8 | 85 | 16 |
| Seconds per Play | 25.8 (49) | 28.3 (93) |
| Rush Rate | 44.7% (123) | 39.8% (127) |
Arizona State vs Washington
Betting Pick & Prediction
The past two meetings in this series have both gone over the total and over 60 points. Washington has its best offense in that span and one of the best in the country.
The Huskies rank sixth nationally in scoring offense at 44.3 points per game and have scored 41 in four of their six games this season.
The Sun Devils are averaging just 18.7 points per game. However, since being shut out by Fresno State, the Sun Devils have scored at least 24 points in each of their past three games.
In addition to the Oregon game, the Huskies gave up 32 points to Cal and 24 to Arizona in conference play. If Arizona State scores 20 points or more, there's a good chance this game reaches 60 points and flies over the total.
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