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Clemson-Alabama Betting Trends: Which Matter in 2019 National Championship Game?

Jan 07, 2019 6:50 PM EST
Credit:

Joshua S. Kelly-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Clemson head coach Dabo Swinney

  • The Alabama Crimson Tide are 5.5-point betting favorites over the Clemson Tigers in Monday's national championship game (8 p.m. ET, ESPN).
  • Let's dig into some betting trends to know, including how Dabo Swinney fares as an underdog and how Nick Saban's teams perform to the over/under in the postseason.

Betting trends aren’t gospel, and are not always predictive. But there’s usually an opportunity to learn something or find a good handicapping angle from them.

Using our database at Bet Labs, we’ve compiled some of the most interesting trends for the 2019 national championship game between Clemson and Alabama.

Betting Trends for Clemson-Alabama

Dabo As a Dog

Dabo Swinney is 18-10 against the spread (ATS) as an underdog, including 7-1 ATS in postseason games. In the past 10 games as a dog, Clemson has won six outright. — John Ewing

First Half Tide

Alabama is -3 on the first half line. Under Nick Saban, Alabama is 21-6-1 (77.8%) against the first half spread when favored by a field goal or less, or listed as an underdog.

When Saban faces a non-conference opponent, the Tide are 5-0 against the first half spread in this spot, covering the spread by 9.4 PPG. This includes a 2-0 mark against Clemson. — Evan Abrams

Bad, Bad Turf

The under at Levi’s Stadium — which hasn’t fixed its horrid field conditions in its five years of existence — is 36-23 (61%) in college and NFL games. Athleticism isn’t always on full display on that grass.

The under is 5-6 in college games, but the two games this season have seen a combined 29 points (Michigan State-Oregon, Washington-Utah). — Steve Petrella

Saban Going Over