College Football Bowl Projections | Updated Week 14 Matchup Predictions

Week 14 College Football Bowl Game Projections

The Border War between Missouri and Kansas has been dormant since 2011, but there was an opportunity for the iconic rivalry to resume in the Liberty Bowl this month.

There was just one problem: Missouri didn’t want to play Kansas, so the matchup will not happen, industry sources told Action Network.

The Jayhawks, who are making their first bowl appearance since 2008, were not opposed to playing the Tigers in a bowl, sources said.

Schools provide their bowl preferences and the conferences, bowls and schools usually come to an agreement whenever possible. It’s not unusual for schools to request not playing certain opponents in the postseason, sources said.

The Liberty Bowl is one of three that matches SEC vs. Big 12 opponents. The other two are the Sugar and Texas bowls. Missouri and Kansas are both 6-6.

"A 6-6 team dictating who they don't want to play in a bowl?" an industry source said. "What a world. What a world."

Dating back to 1907, the Kansas-Missouri rivalry was the second-longest in FBS when it ended after the 2011 season when the Tigers left the Big 12 for the SEC. In 2020, the schools announced they would resume the series, scheduling four games starting in 2025.

A Kansas-Missouri matchup would have been one of the most highly anticipated of the postseason, but fans of each school now will have to wait until 2025.

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The official bowl pairings will be announced on Sunday. I'm projecting Kansas will play Arkansas in the Liberty Bowl and Missouri will play East Carolina in the Gasparilla Bowl.

In other bowl news, the NCAA Oversight Committee approved New Mexico State’s bowl waiver on Thursday, and in turn, Auburn was officially eliminated from bowl contention.

The oversight committee also denied a waiver to Army, which was hoping to count two wins vs. FSC opponents toward bowl eligibility. Earlier in the season, the committee denied a similar waiver request by Marshall and Appalachian State. Marshall did reach bowl eligibility, but Appalachian State fell a win shy.

Meanwhile, Buffalo survived an upset bid by Akron on Friday afternoon to become the 82nd — and final — bowl team. That leaves UNLV (5-7) on the outside looking in.

Entering this weekend’s conference championship games, these will be my final projections until after Saturday’s games. Enjoy the weekend.

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CFP National Championship Prediction

• CFP National Championship

  Monday, Jan. 9

  ⋅

  Los Angeles, CA

  Georgia

  -4.5

  Michigan

College Football Playoff Semifinals Projections

• Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl

  Saturday, Dec. 31

  ⋅

  Atlanta, GA

  Georgia

  -5

  Ohio State
• Vrbo Fiesta Bowl

  Saturday, Dec. 31

  ⋅

  Glendale, AZ

  Michigan

  -5.5

  TCU

New Year's Six Bowl Games

• Rose Bowl

  Monday, Jan. 2

  ⋅

  Pasadena, CA

  Utah

  Penn State

  -2.5
• Goodyear Cotton Bowl

  Monday, Jan. 2

  ⋅

  Arlington, TX

  USC

  -6

  Tulane

• Allstate Sugar Bowl

  Saturday, Dec. 31

  ⋅

  New Orleans, LA

  Kansas State

  Alabama

  -6.5
• Capital One Orange Bowl

  Friday, Dec. 30

  ⋅

  Miami, FL

  Clemson

  -1

  Tennessee

Projections for All Other Bowls

• Cheez-It Citrus Bowl

  Monday, Jan. 2

  ⋅

  Orlando, FL

  LSU

  -6.5

  Purdue
• ReliaQuest Bowl

  Monday, Jan. 2

  ⋅

  Tampa, FL

  South Carolina

  Notre Dame

  -3.5
• Music City Bowl

  Saturday, Dec. 31

  ⋅

  Nashville, TN

  Kentucky

  PK

  Illinois

  PK

• Arizona Bowl

  Friday, Dec. 30

  ⋅

  Tucson, AZ

  Ohio

  -2

  Wyoming
• TaxSlayer Gator Bowl

  Friday, Dec. 30

  ⋅

  Jacksonville, FL

  Mississippi State

  -4

  NC State
• Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl

  Friday, Dec. 30

  ⋅

  El Paso, TX

  Pitt

  UCLA

  -2.5

• Duke's Mayo Bowl

  Friday, Dec. 30

  ⋅

  Charlotte, NC

  Duke

  Iowa

  -4.5
• Valero Alamo Bowl

  Thursday, Dec. 29

  ⋅

  San Antonio, TX

  Texas

  -5.5

  Washington
• Cheez-It Bowl

  Thursday, Dec. 29

  ⋅

  Orlando, FL

  Florida State

  -1

  Oklahoma

• Pinstripe Bowl

  Thursday, Dec. 29

  ⋅

  Bronx, NY

  Syracuse

  Minnesota

  -6.5
• TaxAct Texas Bowl

  Wednesday, Dec. 28

  ⋅

  Houston, TX

  Ole Miss

  PK

  Texas Tech

  PK
• Holiday Bowl

  Wednesday, Dec. 28

  ⋅

  San Diego, CA

  North Carolina

  Oregon

  -7

• AutoZone Liberty Bowl

  Wednesday, Dec. 28

  ⋅

  Memphis, TN

  Arkansas

  -7

  Kansas
• Military Bowl

  Wednesday, Dec. 28

  ⋅

  Annapolis, MD

  Wake Forest

  UCF

  -1
• Guaranteed Rate Bowl

  Tuesday, Dec. 27

  ⋅

  Phoenix, AZ

  Wisconsin

  Baylor

  -1.5

• Camellia Bowl

  Tuesday, Dec. 27

  ⋅

  Montgomery, AL

  Georgia Southern

  -4.5

  Buffalo
• Birmingham Bowl

  Tuesday, Dec. 27

  ⋅

  Birmingham, AL

  Memphis

  -5.5

  Coastal Carolina
• First Responder Bowl

  Tuesday, Dec. 27

  ⋅

  Dallas, TX

  Oklahoma State

  -5

  Fresno State

• Quick Lane Bowl

  Monday, Dec. 26

  ⋅

  Detroit, MI

  Maryland

  -22

  Bowling Green
• EasyPost Hawai'i Bowl

  Saturday, Dec. 24

  ⋅

  Honolulu, HI

  San Diego State

  -4.5

  Middle Tennessee
• Gasparilla Bowl

  Friday, Dec. 23

  ⋅

  Tampa, FL

  Missouri

  -1

  East Carolina

• Independence Bowl

  Friday, Dec. 23

  ⋅

  Shreveport, LA

  Houston

  -4

  Louisiana
• Armed Forces Bowl

  Thursday, Dec. 22

  ⋅

  Fort Worth, TX

  Air Force

  -8.5

  North Texas
• New Orleans Bowl

  Wednesday, Dec. 21

  ⋅

  New Orleans, LA

  Western Kentucky

  South Alabama

  -3.5

• Boca Raton Bowl

  Tuesday, Dec. 20

  ⋅

  Boca Raton, FL

  Liberty

  -2.5

  San Jose State
• Famous Idaho Potato Bowl

  Tuesday, Dec. 20

  ⋅

  Boise, ID

  Eastern Michigan

  Utah State

  -1
• Myrtle Beach Bowl

  Monday, Dec. 19

  ⋅

  Conway, SC

  Marshall

  -4

  Toledo

• Frisco Bowl

  Saturday, Dec. 17

  ⋅

  Frisco, TX

  New Mexico State

  UConn

  -8
• Las Vegas Bowl

  Saturday, Dec. 17

  ⋅

  Las Vegas, NV

  Florida

  Oregon State

  -1
• LendingTree Bowl

  Saturday, Dec. 17

  ⋅

  Mobile, AL

  Southern Miss

  -7.5

  Rice

• Jimmy Kimmel LA Bowl

  Saturday, Dec. 17

  ⋅

  Los Angeles, CA

  Washington State

  Boise State

  -2
• New Mexico Bowl

  Saturday, Dec. 17

  ⋅

  Albuquerque, NM

  BYU

  SMU

  -2.5
• Wasabi Fenway Bowl

  Saturday, Dec. 17

  ⋅

  Boston, MA

  Cincinnati

  Louisville

  -2

• • Duluth Trading Cure Bowl

    Friday, Dec. 16

    ⋅

    Orlando, FL

    UTSA

    PK

    Troy

    PK
  • Bahamas Bowl

    Friday, Dec. 16

    ⋅

    Nassau, Bahamas

    UAB

    -12

    Miami (OH)

* The highest-rated champion from the Group of Five conferences (American, Conference USA, Mid-American, Mountain West and Sun Belt) will be selected to play in the Cotton Bowl if it does not qualify for College Football Playoff.

**Highlighted teams are confirmed to have earned a spot in their respective bowls.

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