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College Football Odds & Pick for Arizona State vs. USC: Sharp Action, Betting Systems Aligned on Total (Saturday, Nov. 7)


Joe Robbins/Getty Images. Pictured: Jayden Daniels

College Football Odds: Arizona State vs. USC

Arizona State Odds +11.5
USC Odds -11.5
Over/Under 55.5
Time 12 p.m. ET
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The Pac is back, and sharps are taking immediate notice.

Saturday’s noon ET kickoff between Arizona State and USC has drawn some attention from sharp bettors throughout the week on both the spread and total, but it wasn’t until this morning’s updated forecast in Los Angeles that our PRO Report feature revealed multiple indicators of value on the same side of this game.

Let’s take a look.

Note: Data as of 9 a.m. ET.

There’s more sharp action on Saturday! The pros are betting several more games on the Week 10 slate, including …

  • West Virginia vs. Texas [Unlock]
  • UNC vs. Duke [Unlock]
  • Boston College vs. Syracuse [Unlock]

Already have a PRO account? Click here to view Saturday’s sharp action.

College Football Sharp Pick: Arizona State vs. USC

A four-point line move in itself can be pretty telling; it’s unlikely to happen without a sharp betting assist. And in this case, there’s good reason for the pros to like the under, at least historically speaking, as indicated by one of our PRO betting systems.

Sharp Action

Sports Insights Bet Signals serve as our measuring stick for sharp action. Triggered any time the market reacts in a way specifically indicative of sharp action, these signals allow us to stack up unique instances of smart money landing on a game. And in this case, they’ve all come on the same side.

Throughout the week, three SI Bet Signals have been triggered on the under — at 60, 57.5 and 56.5 most recently — confirming sharps to be a driving force in this significant line fall.

It’s also worth noting that this drop has come despite only 40% of bettors taking the under, which should tell you something about what type of bettors are among that 40%.

Sharp Action edge: Under

PRO Systems

One potential reason for the under love from sharps? The weather.

Winds of 11 to 14 mph are expected at the Coliseum this morning, and that’s enough to have this game matching our Windy Unders PRO System.

Since 2005, college football games played in at least 13 mph winds have gone 57% to the under on a sample of nearly 1,000 games.

PRO Systems edge: Under

Unlock the PRO Report to see how sharps are betting the spread.
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