Cotton Bowl Odds: Memphis vs. Penn State Spread, Over/Under & Our Projections

Cotton Bowl Odds: Memphis vs. Penn State Spread, Over/Under & Our Projections article feature image
Credit:

Matthew O’Haren, USA Today Sports.

Cotton Bowl Odds: Memphis vs. Penn State

  • Odds: Penn State -7
  • Over/Under: 61.5
  • Date: Saturday, Dec. 28, 2019
  • Time: Noon ET
  • TV channel: ESPN
  • Location: Arlington, Tx.

Odds as of Sunday afternoon. Get live college football odds here.

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Memphis Betting Stats & 2019 Season Profile

  • Season Record: 11-1
  • Against-the-Spread Record: 7-4-1
  • Conference: AAC
  • Offense Yards Per Play Rank: 8
  • Defense Yards Per Play Rank: 31
  • S&P+ Special Teams Rank: 3

Analysis: There was a lot to like about the Tigers entering 2019, and despite a strange 15-10 win at Ole Miss to open the season, they’ve been as good as advertised on offense the rest of the way. Memphis ended the regular season ranked No. 8 in yards per play and No. 7 in offensive SP+. Quarterback Brady White is averaging a silly 10.0 yards per attempt with a 32/8 TD/INT ratio, and this program continues to churn out excellent skill position players. The defense isn’t elite by any measure, but has been just good enough to let the offense thrive. — Steve Petrella

All stats are regular season only


Penn State Betting Stats & 2019 Season Profile

  • Season Record: 10-2
  • Against-the-Spread Record: 5-6-1
  • Conference: Big Ten
  • Offense Yards Per Play Rank: 57
  • Defense Yards Per Play Rank: 10
  • S&P+ Special Teams Rank: 7

Analysis: Penn State is a 10-win team in the Big Ten East. That alone shows you that this team is very good, but I believe they’ve been a bit overvalued all season. The market dictated that I up my power rating on the Nittany Lions as the season went on, but they were a solid fade in multiple spots. The reason I’m not as high on Penn State as the market is quarterback play, coaching, and a propensity to give up big pass plays. Sean Clifford has been very underwhelming and I’m not a fan of James Franklin as an in-game coach. Penn State won’t be in the College Football Playoff, but if their bowl game opponent features an explosive passing offense, look to fade the Nittany Lions. –Kyle Miller

All stats are regular season only


Cotton Bowl Projections & Picks

  • Our projected spread: Penn State -9.5
  • Our projected over/under: 56.84