Florida State v. Florida Opening Odds: Sharp Action Already On The Favorites

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Florida State v. Florida Odds

Florida State Spread +2 (-110)
Florida Spread -2 (-110)
Florida State Moneyline +105
Florida Moneyline -125
Over/Under 63.5
Date Saturday, Nov. 27
Time 12 p.m. ET
TV ABC

Odds are according to DraftKings as of Sunday.

This might be one of the worst matchups in this storied rivalry’s history.

It’s only the third time that each team has entered this game with a losing record.

It’s a far cry from the 1990s heyday for each program. From 1990 to 2000, each November matchup between these two flagship Florida schools featured both teams ranked in the top 10 of the Associated Press poll.

The winner of this game played in the national championship game in six of those seasons (1993, 1995, 1996, 1998, 1999 and 2000).

The 2021 season has been a completely different story.

Florida just fired their head coach Dan Mullen after suffering a loss to lowly Missouri. The Gators are 5-6 on the year and have no key wins of note. They did keep it close with Alabama, losing just 31-29, but other than that, it’s been a lost year for the program.

Meanwhile, in Tallahassee, things started off way worse for the Seminoles. But after beginning the season 0-4, Florida State have redeemed themselves and have put up a 5-2 record since.

It helped that their offensive line — many of whom were injured for the first part of the year — by-and-large returned from their ailments.

Their only losses since September have been at Clemson and against No. 24-ranked NC State.

Based on momentum alone, Florida State seems like the pick here — and you’ll be getting value on them, too. The public certainly feels that way. As of Monday, about 84% of the money is on Florida State +2. Their moneyline at +105 is getting hammered by the public, too.

But, the sharps are loving Florida for this one. The Action Network’s models have detected sharp action on the Gators at -2. Our models also project Florida to be 4.4-point favorites for this contest, giving prospective bettors a 2.4-point edge.

 

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