Purdue vs. Northwestern Odds & Pick: Wildcats Posting Historic Lows on Offense

Nov 09, 2019 10:15 AM EST
Credit:

Thomas J. Russo-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Cory Trice

  • The latest betting odds list Purdue as a small underdog to Northwestern on Saturday (12 p.m. ET, BTN).
  • The Wildcats have posted some of the worst offensive numbers of any team in the last five years so far, but their strong defense could take advantage of Purdue's walk-on quarterback.
  • See our pick below by starting a free trial of Action EDGE.

Purdue vs. Northwestern

  • Spread: Northwestern -2
  • Over/Under: 38
  • Time: 12 p.m. ET
  • TV: Big Ten Network

Odds as of Friday morning and via PointsBet, where Action Network users can access an exclusive promotion to get a 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).


The 2019 season has not gone how either Purdue or Northwestern had hoped.

The 3-6 Boilermakers have been ravaged by injuries, but still pulled out a win against Nebraska to keep their slim bowl hopes alive.

Northwestern has quite possibly the worst offense in Power 5 (and that’s including Rutgers), averaging a national-low 3.65 yards per play. No one has averaged fewer since Wake Forest in 2014 (the same Wake team of the infamous 0-0 photo).

Who will survive this war of attrition on Saturday? Let’s dive in.

Model Prediction for Purdue-Northwestern

Using his power ratings, available to Action EDGE members, Collin Wilson projects the spread and total for every Week 11 game. Factors like weather, injury and specific mismatches can alter the market number.

  • Spread: Northwestern -3.1
  • Total: 42.1

Wilson: How I’m Betting This Game

This number initially caught my eye from our Action Network power ratings that made Northwestern a 3-point favorite. Purdue has lost quarterback Jack Plummer for the season, giving the Boilermakers an even tougher path to a bowl game with walk-on Adin O’Connell under center.

Wisconsin and Indiana remain on the schedule, but a date with the offensively inept Wildcats awaits first.

Northwestern, meanwhile, is having offensive issues of epic proportions.

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