Stanford vs Oregon State Odds & Prediction: Bet the Underdog?
Pictured: Damien Martinez. (Photo by Chris Coduto/Getty Images)
Stanford vs Oregon State Odds
| Stanford Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+21.5 -110 | 51.5 -110o / -110u | +1000 |
| Oregon State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-21.5 -110 | 51.5 -110o / -110u | -2000 |
In a Pac-12 bout, the Stanford Cardinal head north to face off against the Oregon State Beavers.
Stanford is coming off a win against Washington State that might as well have been a pillow fight with a final score of 10-7. It’s been a trying year for the 3-6 Cardinal, but all of their wins have been on the road.
Oregon State returns home after an impressive 26-19 win against Colorado. The 7-2 Beavers are having a wonderful season and are undefeated in Corvallis.
Where does the betting value lie in this matchup? Let's make a Stanford vs. Oregon State prediction in this college football betting preview.
Stanford is incredibly inconsistent. Most weeks it puts up clunkers, but then there are games in which the Cardinal score 20 or more points.
Quarterback Ashton Daniels leads the charge and he's fairly hit or miss. He does do a good job of limiting turnovers, but doesn’t complete his passes at an efficient rate. Last week against Washington State, he threw 31 times, but only completed 15 of those passes for 115 yards.
It feels like the sun has to be aligned the right way for Daniels to have good games. Stanford is 99th in passing play Success Rate and 107th in Explosiveness. Wideout Elic Ayomanor is Daniels’ favorite target, averaging 16 yards per catch.
Stanford's run game is pretty average and most of the rushing touchdowns come from the quarterback as the Cardinal rank 59th in Success Rate.
Last week was certainly an anomaly as Stanford gave up just seven points. This defense is usually a disaster and gives up an average of 34 points per game. Additionally, Stanford ranks 133rd in Havoc allowed.
There are some standouts on this defense, including outside linebacker David Bailey. He leads the team in both sacks and tackles for loss.
Stanford doesn’t do a very good job of defending the run or the pass and ranks near the bottom in both rushing and passing defense success rate.
Oregon State has had a real solid year with DJ Uiagalelei under center. In his first year with the Beavers, he’s thrown for over 2,000 yards, completed nearly 60% of his passes and has limited turnovers.
Oregon State's passing game ranks 12th in Success Rate and 24th in Explosiveness. Uiagalelei has an abundance of weapons that have helped him.
Wideouts Silas Bolden and Anthony Gould each get a lot of targets and average 14 yards and 17 yards per catch, respectively.
On the ground is where Oregon State really does its damage. In fact, the Beavers are ranked third in Success Rate and 18th in PPA.
Damien Martinez has been a beast and averaging 6.3 yards per carry. Additionally, Deshaun Fenwick averages 5.4 yards per carry. The Beavers also like to use Bolden in the running game at times and are quite effective when doing so as he's scored twice and averages 10.8 yards per carry.
Defensively, this team struggles. The Beavers allow 21 points per game, but are rather inconsistent.
Take the pass defense for example. When there isn’t much pressure, they do fairly well. But on third downs, they’re 64th in the nation. They’re also 112th in passing down success rate.
Stopping the run is no different. They’re ranked 20th in opponent rushing yards per game, but are 107th in Rush Success Rate allowed.
I like a lot of the guys on this defense, mainly Andrew Chatfield Jr., who has seven sacks, and Sione Lolohea who has 8.5 tackles for loss. However, the execution and consistency haven’t been there.
Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Stanford and Oregon State match up statistically:
Stanford Offense vs. Oregon State Defense
 | Offense | Defense | Edge |
| Rush Success | 59 | 107 | |
| Line Yards | 129 | 39 | |
| Pass Success | 99 | 22 | |
| Havoc | 123 | 25 | |
| Finishing Drives | 79 | 30 | |
| Quality Drives | 75 | 44 |
Oregon State Offense vs. Stanford Defense
| Offense | Defense | Edge |
| Rush Success | 3 | 130 | |
| Line Yards | 22 | 99 | |
| Pass Success | 35 | 123 | |
| Havoc | 36 | 133 | |
| Finishing Drives | 12 | 132 | |
| Quality Drives | 41 | 119 |
Pace of Play / Other
| ||
| PFF Tackling | 62 | 127 |
| PFF Coverage | 128 | 23 |
| Special Teams SP+ | 60 | 34 |
| Middle 8 | 114 | 18 |
| Seconds per Play | 27.0 (69) | 29.4 (110) |
| Rush Rate | 50.8% (103) | 55.9% (40) |
Stanford vs Oregon State
Betting Pick & Prediction
This game is interesting because you never know what to expect from Stanford. The Cardinal are winless at home and 3-1 on the road.
Do I think the Cardinal will win? No. But I wouldn’t be surprised to see them keep it close.
Martinez and Fenwick will cause chaos and I can see Uiagalelei throwing for at least 200 yards. However, Oregon State’s defense is a bit shaky, which could open the door for Stanford to cover.
Yes, 20.5 is a big spread, but Stanford has a history of keeping things close on the road this season. At 20.5, I like backing the Trees.
Pick: Stanford +21
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