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The Texas Longhorns take on the LSU Tigers in Baton Rouge, Louisiana. Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET on ABC.
LSU is favored by 4.5 points (-110) on the spread with a moneyline of -192. Texas is a 4.5-point (-110) underdog with a moneyline of +160. The over/under is set at 46.5 total points (-110 / -110).
Here’s my Texas vs. LSU prediction and college football pick for Saturday, November 14, 2026.
Texas vs LSU Predictions, Pick
- Texas vs. LSU Pick: LSU -4 (-110)
My LSU vs. Texas best bet is on the Tigers to cover at home. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page and download the Action Network app for the latest picks and analysis.
Texas vs LSU Odds, Spread, Line
| Texas Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+4.5 -110 | 46.5 -110o / -110u | +160 |
| LSU Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-4.5 -110 | 46.5 -110o / -110u | -192 |
- Texas vs LSU point spread: LSU -4.5 (-110), Texas +4.5 (-110)
- Texas vs LSU over/under: 46.5 (-105o / -115u)
- Texas vs LSU moneyline: Texas +160, LSU -192
Texas vs LSU Week 11 Game Preview
Texas Longhorns Betting Trends, Props
Week 11’s matchup is an absolute must-win game for Texas if Steve Sarkisian’s bunch wants to secure a spot in the College Football Playoff.
The Longhorns were far more fortunate than the Tigers were in their Week 10 matchup, narrowly securing a massive road victory over Missouri that should bolster their resume.
After entering the fourth quarter with the score all knotted up at 20-20, Texas head coach Steve Sarkisian definitely lit a fire under his Longhorns, who outscored the Tigers 14-0 in the 4th quarter to ultimately prevail with a 34-20 final score.
Now, the eighth-ranked Longhorns must put their season on the line for the second consecutive week on the road, but they'll face a far superior opponent in an extremely motivated LSU squad seeking redemption after a massive home loss in Week 10.
Despite Texas quarterback Arch Manningplaying inconsistently throughout his collegiate career, the Longhorn redshirt-junior aired it out for 297 yards and three touchdowns in the road win over Missouri. It was a promising performance ahead of Week 11’s clash with LSU.
Texas heads into Week 11 with a ton of confidence, having prevailed in three consecutive contests, but faces a tough test as Arch looks to win back-to-back ranked road games for the first time in his collegiate career.
After struggling early in the season, the Longhorns offense has exploded for over 30 points in three consecutive games — a promising feat, given the nation’s most up-tempo offense lies in wait in Baton Rouge for Texas’ arrival.
Arch will need to rely on his offensive playmakers, lead wide receiver Ryan Wingo and halfback Raleek Brown, both of whom are in the midst of breakout campaigns.
The Longhorns' true path to victory will be in the hands of their superior unit: a defense that has allowed just over 17 PPG across the season.
Not only does Texas defensive coordinator Will Muschamp boast one of the premier units in the nation, but this Longhorns defense also ranks among the most efficient in college football history by adjusted EPA per Play allowed.
Texas is the only defensive unit in the country to maintain a defensive efficiency rating above 90 this season, dominating third downs behind edge rusher Colin Simmons and a disruptive front seven.
beating opponents with third-down dominance behind a disruptive front seven led by edge rusher Colin Simmons.
Simmons' status will be a major storyline heading into Week 11’s matchup with LSU, as the junior carries a GTD injury designation after missing Texas’ last three contests with a high-ankle sprain.
LSU Tigers Betting Trends, Odds
Week 10 was not a good look for the Tigers.
Despite how poorly Sam Leavitt and Co. looked in that 18-point defeat, they still opened as three-point home favorites for Week 11, and the number has since been bet up a point.
That's because they really didn't play as poorly as the final score suggests.
LSU out-gained the Tide by nearly 200 total yards (457 to 285) behind a whopping 350 passing yards from Leavitt. Its biggest problem was managing only 10 points across four red-zone trips. The Tigers also went 0-for-4 on fourth down.
LSU still boasts a dangerous, extremely up-tempo offense averaging nearly 80 offensive snaps per game — that unit will be tested against Texas' defense.
On Saturday, Lane Kiffin needs to get tailback Dillon Jones and the run game going while controlling the line of scrimmage on the other side of the ball, because you can force mistakes if you get pressure.
How To Make My Texas vs LSU Pick, Best Bet
I expect a closely contested matchup in this one. I think this could be one of the best games of the season.
Ultimately, however, I think this is a prime spot to grab LSU as a four-point-or-better favorite.
Texas is typically elite in the trenches, but their offensive line has struggled without star left tackle Trevor Goosby, allowing eight sacks over the past two games.
I also think home-field advantage will be juiced up, given it's a prime-time matchup in Death Valley, where the Tigers haven't lost consecutive games since 2001.
This is too good of a bounce-back spot to pass up.
Pick: LSU -4 (-110)
Texas vs LSU Betting Trends
