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The Wisconsin Badgers take on the Maryland Terrapins in College Park, Maryland. Kickoff is set for 12:00 p.m. EST on Fox Sports 1.
Wisconsin is favored by 7.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -320. The total is set at 42.5 points.
Here’s my Wisconsin vs. Maryland prediction and college football pick for Saturday, November 14, 2026.
Wisconsin vs Maryland Prediction
- Wisconsin vs. Maryland Pick: Under 42 or Better
My Maryland vs. Wisconsin best bet is on the Under. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
Wisconsin vs Maryland Odds
| Wisconsin Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-7.5 -120 | 42.5 -110o / -110u | -320 |
| Maryland Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+7.5 +100 | 42.5 -110o / -110u | +260 |
- Wisconsin vs Maryland point spread: Wisconsin -7.5 (-120), Maryland +7.5 (+100)
- Wisconsin vs Maryland over/under: 42.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Wisconsin vs Maryland moneyline: Wisconsin -320, Maryland +260
Wisconsin vs Maryland College Football Preview
The biggest factor in this matchup will likely be the weather.
The forecast is calling for sustained double-digit winds coming out of the Northwest, with 20-plus MPH gusts ripping through the Mid-Atlantic all afternoon.
That will probably have the biggest effect on Malik Washington, given the Terps throw the rock at a top-15 rate nationally (about 55%).
But Washington hasn’t exactly played well this season, averaging just 6.7 YPA with six Big-Time Throws to nine Turnover-Worthy Plays. He had some solid games against UConn in Week 2 (83% completion, 347 yards, 8.3 YPA, 84.8 PFF Passing grade) and Purdue last Saturday (73% completion, 253 yards, 14.1 YPA, 82.9 PFF Passing grade), but he got mauled by UCLA, Nebraska, and Ohio State in a three-game stretch between Week 4 and 7 (~50% completion, ~460 yards, ~5 YPA, ~40 PFF Passing Grade).
Unfortunately, Wisconsin’s defense is closer to those three than Purdue’s. The Badgers boast a top-15 defense nationally by EPA per Play allowed, and even though they’re a tad weak against underneath routes (38% Pass Success Rate allowed, 35th), they keep everything in front of them (1.00 Explosiveness allowed, first) and get off the field in passing downs (23% Success Rate allowed, fifth).
Washington can’t complete the deep ball anyway (27% completion, 52.4 PFF Passing grade), so he’ll be forced to methodically drive downfield by dinking and dunking underneath. Even if he can execute that game plan, it’ll lead to longer, clock-killing drives.
Wisconsin is a ground-and-pound offense, so the Badgers will look to keep the ball on the ground on this windy Saturday. While that could also lead to more methodical drives, I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Badgers rip off more than a few chunk plays, given how often they break runs: they rank 11th nationally in Rush Explosiveness, while the Maryland defense ranks 111th nationally in Rush Explosiveness allowed.
That said, I don’t know if the Wisco rush attack will be as explosive now that Luke Fickell has benched Colton Joseph for Ryan Hopkins. Joseph was the team’s leading rusher in both attempts (91) and yards (374), while Hopkins has recorded -15 yards on six carries through two starts, three of those being sacks. I think taking the dual-threat away could hurt Wisconsin’s rush explosives, which could be a big problem given the Badgers rank sub-100th nationally in Rush Success Rate (they haven’t been good on a down-to-down basis and rely heavily on big plays).
Sure, Hopkins shredded Rutgers last week (18-for-24, 241 yards, 10 YPA, 8.4 aDOT, 3 TDs, 0 INTs), but that was at home against a literal bottom-of-the-barrel defense that has allowed at least 28 points to every FBS offense it’s faced (including 37 to UMass, 28 to Boston College, and 28 to Michigan). Hopkins was downright terrible against Iowa, but so is every quarterback.
No, Maryland isn't a good defense, but the Terps aren’t downright horrific — they rank just below average in Success Rate allowed. So, I’d imagine Hopkins’ performance falls somewhere in the middle of those two, with a slight lean toward the lower end of that projection range, given he’s playing on the road in heavy winds, and the Terps now have two full games of tape.
Wisconsin vs Maryland Pick, Betting Analysis
Put it all together, and I think the Under is my best bet.
I think the wind will hurt Hopkins and Washington in the passing game, and I don’t love the matchup for either quarterback regardless — Washington has a particularly tough matchup against a stingy Wisconsin secondary, one he completed just 18 of 34 passing attempts against last season (albeit in a 27-10 win).
Can Wisconsin still punish Maryland with explosives? Possibly, but it’s my only worry; every other factor points toward a methodical, low-efficiency slog.
Pick: Under 42 or Better
