Dolphins vs. Chargers Odds & Betting Predictions - September 10, 2023

Dolphins at Chargers

8:25 pm • CBS
36 - 34

Dolphins at Chargers Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Dolphins
2-4
+3-110
o50-110
+136
Chargers
3-3
-3-110
u50-110
-164
location pinSunday 8:25 p.m.
September 10, 2023
SoFi StadiumInglewood
Dolphins vs. Chargers Expert Picks
Capper Central
Capper Central
408d ago
Last 30d: 37-52-0 (-25.7u)
LAC -3-110
$200.00
Kevin  Thomas
Kevin Thomas
408d ago
Last 30d: 20-23-0 (-4.8u)
R.Chosen o6.5 Rush + Rec Yds-121
$1.00
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
408d ago
Last 30d: 38-41-1 (+3.6u)
T.Hill o6.5 Recs+108
0.32u
Via @PropBetGuy
Prop Bet Guy
Prop Bet Guy
408d ago
Last 30d: 80-71-0 (-1.2u)
T.Hill o6.5 Recs+108
1.08u
Full write up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/dolphins-vs-chargers-raiders-vs-broncos-player-props-picks-tyreek-hill-hunter-renfrow?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=propbetguy
Charlie DiSturco
Charlie DiSturco
408d ago
Last 30d: 73-92-1 (+13.3u)
T.Hill o81.5 Rec Yds-115
1u
Kevin  Thomas
Kevin Thomas
408d ago
Last 30d: 20-23-0 (-4.8u)
T.Tagovailoa o1.5 Pass TDs-134
$0.75
Geoff aka OldManWhoBets
Geoff aka OldManWhoBets
408d ago
Last 30d: 32-37-2 (-3.6u)
LAC -3-110
1u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
409d ago
Last 30d: 130-173-5 (-12.9u)
Over 50.5-115
0.5u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
409d ago
Last 30d: 88-137-0 (-27.1u)
Under 51-110
1u
Both of these defenses suck right? Right?
Billy Ward
Billy Ward
409d ago
Last 30d: 10-8-0 (+4.6u)
J.Herbert o0.5 Int+130
0.5u
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
409d ago
Last 30d: 40-50-0 (+4.6u)
K.Allen o65.5 Rec Yds-125
0.8u
Joe Metz
Joe Metz
410d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
R.Mostert o12.5 Rush Att-120
1.2u
Simon Hunter
Simon Hunter
410d ago
Last 30d: 23-25-3 (-4.1u)
LAC -3-110
1u
Sandy  Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
410d ago
Last 30d: 121-118-2 (+10.6u)
LAC -3-110
$55.00
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
411d ago
Last 30d: 33-43-2 (-6.8u)
Over 51-110
1u
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
411d ago
Last 30d: 87-81-4 (+1.5u)
T.Tagovailoa o259.5 Pass Yds-115
0.87u
Jim Sannes
Jim Sannes
428d ago
Last 30d: 8-28-0 (-13.9u)
Under 50.5-108
1u
I understand why the total here is low. It's an indoor game (though some wind does leak through) with two offenses that can put up points. But both of these defenses have the potential to be great this year, even with Jalen Ramsey out for the Dolphins. The pace in this game projects a smidge below average, especially given the Dolphins may want to be a bit cautious with Tua Tagovailoa coming off of so many injuries. The Chargers project to be up-tempo with Kellen Moore in town, but they already operated at a decently fast clip last year, so that's not a deviation. The easiest path to this bet failing is big plays popping up, and that's very possible. But given both defenses are constructed with the main intent of stopping said big plays, I do agree with my model that the under is the way to go.

PRO Insights

Dolphins logo

Dolphins

MIA Insights
  • Dolphins logoChargers QBs had a 93.3 passer rating last season -- 10th-best in NFL. The Dolphins allowed a passer rating of 95.4 last season -- fifth-worst in NFL.
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Chargers logo

Chargers

LAC Insights
  • Chargers logoThe Dolphins had an average drive start position from the 23.3 yard line last season -- worst in NFL. The Chargers allowed an average drive start position from the 25.5 yard line last season -- tied for seventh-best in NFL.
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Dolphins vs. Chargers Props

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Dolphins vs. Chargers Public Betting Percentages

100%

Bets%

0%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Chargers
3-2-11-0-12-23-10-1-1
Dolphins
1-50-31-21-30-2

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Chargers
1-50-21-31-30-2
Dolphins
1-51-20-31-30-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Chargers
3-3N/AN/A3-10-2
Dolphins
2-4N/AN/A2-20-2

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Aug 26th@SFW 23-12+7.5 WU 38.5LAC +290
Aug 20thNOL 17-22+3 LO 36NO +136
Aug 13th@LAW 34-17+2.5 WO 34LAC +120
Jan 15th@JACL 30-31-2.5 LO 46.5JAC -136
Jan 8th@DENL 28-31+6.5 WO 39.5DEN +210

Chargers vs. Dolphins Injury Updates

Chargers Injuries

  • Joey Bosa
    OLB

    Bosa is doubtful with hip

    Doubtful

  • Gus Edwards
    RB

    Edwards is out with ankle

    Out

  • Kristian Fulton
    CB

    Fulton is questionable with hamstring

    Questionable

  • Ja'Sir Taylor
    DB

    Taylor is questionable with knee

    Questionable

  • Deane Leonard
    DB

    Leonard is out with hamstring

    Out

  • Quentin Johnston
    WR

    Johnston is questionable with ankle

    Questionable

Dolphins Injuries

  • Odell Beckham
    WR

    Beckham is questionable with hamstring

    Questionable

  • David Long
    LB

    Long is questionable with knee

    Questionable

  • Tua Tagovailoa
    QB

    Tagovailoa is questionable with concussion

    Questionable

Team Stats
536
Total Yards
433
65
Total Plays
76
8.2
Yards Per Play
5.7
466
YDS
229
28/45
Comps/Atts
23/33
10.356
YPA
5.556
3/1
TDs/INTs
1/0
0/0
Sacks/Yards
3/29
70
Rush Yards
233
20
Attempts
40
3.5
YPC
5.825
1
TDs
3
1
Fumbles Lost
0
1
Interceptions
0
3/5 60%
Redzone
4/5 80%
4/9 0%
3rd Down
9/15 0%
1/1 0%
4th Down
0/1 0%

First Downs

30
Total
30
23
Pass
10
5
Rush
17
2
Penalty
3
6/38
Penalties/Yards
6/70
27:19
Possession
32:41

Dolphins vs. Chargers Odds Comparison

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Dolphins at Chargers Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Dolphins
2-4
o23.5-110
u23.5-110
Chargers
3-3
o26.5-113
u26.5-108