Jaguars vs. Steelers Odds & Betting Predictions - October 29, 2023

Jaguars at Steelers

5:00 pm • CBS
20 - 10

Jaguars at Steelers Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Jaguars
0-1-1
-2
-2.5-110
o40.5-115
-132
Steelers
2-1
u40.5
+2.5-110
u40.5-105
+112
location pinSunday 5:00 p.m.
October 29, 2023
Acrisure StadiumPittsburgh
Jaguars vs. Steelers Expert Picks
STL ELITE
STL ELITE
Last 30d: 6-4-0 (+8.9u)
JAC -2.5-110
2u
Simon Hunter
Simon Hunter
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+1.0u)
PIT +2.5-110
1u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 1-1-0 (-0.0u)
C.Ridley o49.5 Rec Yds-129
0.78u
Everyone is a Christian Kirk fan now huh
Steak Friend
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
JAC -130
2u
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 0-2-0 (-4.0u)
PIT +2-109
1.64u
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 71-75-4 (-14.7u)
JAC -124
0.81u
Matthew Freedman
Matthew Freedman
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
PIT +2-109
1.09u
Projection: +0.4. For more, check out Fantasy Life.
Chad Millman
Chad Millman
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
PIT +2.5+100
0.5u
Took the hook for half a unit after putting full unit on 2 (prolly bet it too early and should have waited; did not get the best of the number on this game).
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 114-112-9 (+0.1u)
JAC -125
0.8u
Brandon Anderson
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
JAC -0.5 (1Q)+136
0.68u
PIT +125 (4Q)
0.5u
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 9-12-1 (-1.5u)
C.Heyward o18.5 Rec Yds-114
1u
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 16-9-1 (+6.0u)
C.Kirk o54.5 Rec Yds-115
1u
Royals Props
Royals Props
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+1.0u)
C.Ridley o51.5 Rec Yds-115
1u
Jim Sannes
Jim Sannes
Last 30d: 16-38-0 (-9.5u)
PIT +128
0.8u
Available at FanDuel. I'm a big fan of the Jags and have bet them plenty since the beginning of last year. This just seems a bit too low on Pittsburgh, given how they've played. Ignoring priors, Pittsburgh ranks 21st in my model's offensive power rankings despite playing without Diontae Johnson for most of the season. That's worse than Jacksonville, and the two defenses have actually produced pretty similar numbers thus far. So, to me, it's clear that Jacksonville is the better team. I just don't know if it's enough to justify being 2.5-point road favorites against a team that has truly played solid football this year. My model makes this game a toss-up, so I'll take the +128 on the Steelers.
Chad Millman
Chad Millman
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
PIT +2-110
1u
As discussed with @SimonHunterNFL on Sunday episode of @TheFavoritesPodcast. Steelers as a home dog will always be an early play.

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Jaguars vs. Steelers Previews & Analysis

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Jaguars vs. Steelers Props

Prop Projections

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Jaguars vs. Steelers Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Jaguars

Public

52%

Bets%

48%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Steelers
11-66-25-45-36-3
Jaguars
10-74-35-31-39-4

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Steelers
8-92-66-34-44-5
Jaguars
9-83-44-43-16-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Steelers
10-7N/AN/A5-35-4
Jaguars
4-13N/AN/A2-22-11

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Oct 22nd@LAW 24-17+3 WU 43.5PIT +144
Oct 8thBALW 17-10+5 WU 38.5PIT +188
Oct 1st@HOUL 6-30-3 LU 41.5HOU -150
Sep 25th@LVW 23-18+3 WU 43.5PIT +130
Sep 19thCLEW 26-22+2.5 WO 39PIT +112

Steelers vs. Jaguars Injury Updates

Steelers Injuries

  • Kenny Willekes
    OLB

    Kenny Willekes (Undisclosed) is out this week.

    Out

Jaguars Injuries

    Team Stats
    377
    Total Yards
    261
    65
    Total Plays
    64
    5.8
    Yards Per Play
    4.1
    292
    YDS
    211
    24/32
    Comps/Atts
    25/43
    7.743
    YPA
    4.152
    1/1
    TDs/INTs
    1/2
    3/21
    Sacks/Yards
    3/20
    106
    Rush Yards
    70
    30
    Attempts
    18
    3.533
    YPC
    3.889
    0
    TDs
    0
    2
    Fumbles Lost
    0
    1
    Interceptions
    2

    Efficiency

    0/3 0%
    Redzone
    0/1 0%
    6/13 0%
    3rd Down
    3/12 0%
    0/0 0%
    4th Down
    0/2 0%

    First Downs

    20
    Total
    17
    11
    Pass
    12
    6
    Rush
    4
    3
    Penalty
    1
    6/72
    Penalties/Yards
    6/52
    34:16
    Possession
    25:44

    Jaguars vs. Steelers Odds Comparison

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    Jaguars at Steelers Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Jaguars
    0-1-1
    o20.5-120
    u20.5-105
    Steelers
    2-1
    o20.5+105
    u20.5-136