Raiders vs. Chiefs Odds & Betting Predictions - October 19, 2025

Raiders at Chiefs

5:00 pm • CBS
0 - 31

Raiders at Chiefs Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Raiders
2-5
+9.5
+13.5-112
o44.5-110
+600
Chiefs
4-3
u45.5
-13.5-107
u44.5-110
-850
location pinSunday 5:00 p.m.
October 19, 2025
GEHA Field at Arrowhead StadiumKansas City
Raiders vs. Chiefs Expert Picks
Ryan Sura
Ryan Sura
Last 30d: 102-104-1 (-0.2u)
I.Pacheco Anytime TD Scorer Yes+180
1.8u
The Propfessor
The Propfessor
Last 30d: 30-51-0 (-2.3u)
J.Bech o25.5 Rec Yds-125
0.75u
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 22-83-1 (-19.5u)
M.Mayer Anytime TD Scorer Yes+400
0.25u
#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 137-104-6 (+12.1u)
J.Bech o25.5 Rec Yds-110
0.28u
The RotoGrinders team is on his receptions Over but because the odds are better for his receiving yards, I’ll take a shot on Over 25.5. RG has him projected closer to 40 receiving yards with no Bowers and Jakobi, and the Raiders likely play in a negative game script. Just tossing a small amount here on Underdog.
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 112-110-0 (-7.3u)
I.Pacheco u11.5 Rush Att-125
1u
Charlie Wright
Charlie Wright
Last 30d: 17-20-0 (-2.4u)
J.Bech 40+ Receiving Yards Yes+215
0.5u
J.Bech 50+ Receiving Yards Yes+375
0.5u
J.Bech o25.5 Rec Yds-110
1.1u
No Bowers or Meyers. Bigger workload the past two weeks.
Babs .
Babs .
Last 30d: 95-101-3 (-3.1u)
Under 23.5 (1H)-120
0.83u
Chris Gimino
Chris Gimino
Last 30d: 30-41-1 (-7.5u)
J.Bech o2.5 Recs+134
1u
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 58-57-1 (+6.1u)
J.Bech o2.5 Recs+134
2u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 89-98-3 (-0.8u)
J.Bech o26.5 Rec Yds-110
1u
Get him involved
Over 45.5-110
1u
Pulling sack out for points
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 112-110-0 (-7.3u)
G.Smith o2.5 Rush Att-110
1.1u
Babs .
Babs .
Last 30d: 95-101-3 (-3.1u)
J.Smith-Schuster u14.5 Rec Yds-115
1u
Greg Matherne
Greg Matherne
Last 30d: 36-44-2 (+2.5u)
Under 45.5-110
0.5u
Chris Gimino
Chris Gimino
Last 30d: 30-41-1 (-7.5u)
M.Mayer o35.5 Rec Yds-110
1u
MJC Locks
MJC Locks
Last 30d: 10-19-0 (+3.7u)
C.Jones o0.25 Sacks+205
2.05u
Chris Jones has an elite 83.3 PFF pass rush grade this season. He has 24 total pressures and somehow, just 1 sack….these pressures should turn to sacks soon. In his L5 games vs LV he’s racked up 5.5 total sacks. He’s had 4, 5, 4, & 7 pressures in his L4 games and I think he sees another 5+ here as KC is a -12.5 home favorite and should win this game big. Geno has taken the T-3rd most sacks this season, & their O-Line is very banged up and well below avg. Have to play at this price
Cam Is Money
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 67-84-2 (-10.4u)
I.Pacheco Anytime TD Scorer Yes+180
0.72u
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 137-104-6 (+12.1u)
M.Mayer o35.5 Rec Yds-110
0.55u
Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 46-37-0 (+5.7u)
M.Mayer o35.5 Rec Yds-110
0.55u
I was going to wait for this to hit FD/DK before posting, but knowing how these things go.. I’ll be live on our show (Action Playbook Live) tomorrow morning, juggling a million things, Mayer will pop up everywhere at 35.5, Jakobi Meyers will get ruled out, and suddenly it’s 43.5 across the board before kickoff when I won’t have a chance to post it before.. so I’m locking it in now. I’ve been hyping Mayer for two weeks. He’s starting for Brock Bowers again and he’s the exact type of player who thrives in spot starts. He was an elite TE prospect coming out in 2023.. fell to Round 2 but graded as a Round 1 talent. His dynasty stock took a massive hit last eyar because an even better TE prospect landed in the same building. Last week he went 5/50/1, and this game projects as a trailing, pass-heavy script where he should run routes on 80%+ of Geno Smith’s dropbacks. Jakobi Meyers also popped up with knee/toe injuries. I’m projecting him in, but there’s a real chance he either sits due to injury or is quietly protected as a trade asset. That’s likely why some books are keeping Mayer off the board. With it posted at a few spots and live on PrizePicks/Underdog, I’d rather grab 35.5 now than chase 40+ later. I project him closer to 41.5 yards with around a 60% chance to clear 35.5.. and if Meyers is out or limited at all, that only improves it.
MJC Locks
MJC Locks
Last 30d: 10-19-0 (+3.7u)
I.Pacheco Anytime TD Scorer Yes+220
0.88u
Roger Goodell
Roger Goodell
Last 30d: 52-32-3 (+14.5u)
R.Rice o63.5 Rec Yds-125
0.5u
Moneyline Hacks
Moneyline Hacks
Last 30d: 114-113-4 (+49.9u)
J.Smith-Schuster u14.5 Rec Yds-110
1u
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TAN Pod Touchdown Show
TAN Pod Touchdown Show
Last 30d: 9-45-1 (-10.2u)
M.Mayer Anytime TD Scorer Yes+330
0.5u
B.Smith Anytime TD Scorer Yes+550
0.5u
Derek Carty
Derek Carty
Last 30d: 22-25-0 (+2.5u)
G.Smith u0.5 Pass TDs+200
2u
There is a value opportunity on Geno Smith's TD passes prop. THE BLITZ is projecting him to record 1.16 TD passes, while sportsbooks imply 1.31. The model believes there is a 44% chance he records fewer than 0.5 TD passes, so there is some value on the under at +200. (This play is good down to at least +160.) Love THE BLITZ? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics: https://evanalytics.com/products/nfl-premium-subscription?ref=zdlkmgz
M.Brown o2.5 Recs+140
1u
There is a value opportunity on Marquise Brown's receptions prop. THE BLITZ is projecting 3.23 receptions for him with a 58% chance that he exceeds 2.5 receptions. If you can get the over at +140 or better, there is some great value here. (This play is good down to at least -103.) Love THE BLITZ? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics: https://evanalytics.com/products/nfl-premium-subscription?ref=zdlkmgz
J.Smith-Schuster u14.5 Rec Yds-110
1.1u
There is a value opportunity on JuJu Smith-Schuster's receiving yards prop. THE BLITZ is projecting him to record 10.62 receiving yards, while sportsbooks imply 21.74. The model believes there is a 73% chance he records fewer than 14.5 receiving yards, so there is some value on the under at -110. (This play is good down to at least -176.) Love THE BLITZ? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics: https://evanalytics.com/products/nfl-premium-subscription?ref=zdlkmgz
I.Pacheco u11.5 Rush Att+105
1u
There is a value opportunity on Isiah Pacheco's rush attempts prop. THE BLITZ is projecting him to record 10.25 rush attempts, while sportsbooks imply 12.25. The model believes there is a 66% chance he records fewer than 11.5 rush attempts, so there is some value on the under at +105. (This play is good down to at least -133.) Love THE BLITZ? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics: https://evanalytics.com/products/nfl-premium-subscription?ref=zdlkmgz
Kendra Middleton
Kendra Middleton
Last 30d: 15-8-0 (+8.2u)
LV +12.5-115
1u
The Favorites Podcast
The Favorites Podcast
Last 30d: 13-16-0 (-2.2u)
LV +11.5-108
1.08u
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 171-160-3 (+12.2u)
T.Kelce u40.5 Rec Yds-111
1u
Action Pod NFL Picks
Action Pod NFL Picks
Last 30d: 62-112-0 (-3.1u)
Under 45.5-110
0.91u
@Stuckey2 Favorite Total https://myaction.app/AOwwgtQewXb
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 171-160-3 (+12.2u)
K.Hunt o1.5 Rec Yds-120
1u
Middle opportunity
Kendra Middleton
Kendra Middleton
Last 30d: 15-8-0 (+8.2u)
R.Rice Anytime TD Scorer Yes+130
1.3u
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 171-160-3 (+12.2u)
K.Hunt u10.5 Rec Yds-185
0.54u
If u see this, take this line immediately
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 35-29-0 (+5.1u)
R.Rice o46.5 Rec Yds-115
1u
💰🦡 Jake
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 110-134-6 (+34.6u)
J.Meyers Anytime TD Scorer Yes+300
0.1u
LV +12.5-115
1.15u
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 14-17-0 (-2.1u)
LV +600
0.2u
LV +12-110
1.1u
Jim Sannes
Jim Sannes
Last 30d: 17-52-0 (-19.4u)
Over 45.5-112
1u
Have this total at 48.6. Chiefs' offense has been very efficient the past three weeks and now adds Rashee Rice. Think we'll get a good reminder of how lethal they can be with competent pass-catchers.
Brandon Kravitz
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 61-80-1 (-9.1u)
LV +11.5-105
1.05u

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Raiders vs. Chiefs Props

Prop Projections

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Raiders vs. Chiefs Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Raiders

Public

48%

Bets%

52%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Chiefs
4-33-11-13-21-1
Raiders
2-51-21-31-11-4

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Chiefs
3-41-31-12-31-1
Raiders
2-51-21-31-11-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Chiefs
4-3N/AN/A3-21-1
Raiders
2-5N/AN/A1-11-4

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Oct 13thDETW 30-17-2.5 WU 51.5KC -150
Oct 7th@JACL 28-31-3.5 LO 45.5JAC -202
Sep 28thBALW 37-20+2.5 WO 48.5KC +125
Sep 22nd@NYGW 22-9-6 WU 44.5KC -320
Sep 14thPHIL 17-20+1.5 LU 46.5PHI +106

Chiefs vs. Raiders Injury Updates

Chiefs Injuries

    Raiders Injuries

    • Jakobi Meyers
      WR

      Meyers is out with knee

      Out

    • Brock Bowers
      TE

      Bowers is out with knee

      Out

    Team Stats
    95
    Total Yards
    434
    30
    Total Plays
    77
    3.2
    Yards Per Play
    5.6
    75
    YDS
    286
    12/18
    Comps/Atts
    26/35
    3.684
    YPA
    7.833
    0/0
    TDs/INTs
    3/0
    1/5
    Sacks/Yards
    1/4
    25
    Rush Yards
    152
    11
    Attempts
    41
    2.273
    YPC
    3.707
    0
    TDs
    1

    Turnovers

    1
    Fumbles Lost
    0
    0
    Interceptions
    0

    Efficiency

    0/0 0%
    Redzone
    4/5 80%
    0/7 0%
    3rd Down
    9/15 0%
    0/1 0%
    4th Down
    1/2 0%

    First Downs

    3
    Total
    30
    2
    Pass
    16
    0
    Rush
    12
    1
    Penalty
    2
    8/58
    Penalties/Yards
    5/38
    17:52
    Possession
    42:08

    Raiders vs. Chiefs Odds Comparison

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    Raiders at Chiefs Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Raiders
    2-5
    N/A
    N/A
    Chiefs
    4-3
    N/A
    N/A