Texans vs. Chiefs Odds & Betting Predictions - January 18, 2025
Texans at Chiefs
9:30 pm • ABC/ESPNTexans at Chiefs Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Texans 2-4 | +7.5 | +9.5-110 | o41.5-110 | +410 |
Chiefs 5-0 | u43 | -9.5-110 | u41.5-108 | -550 |

GEHA Field at Arrowhead StadiumKansas City
Texans vs. Chiefs Expert Picks
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 38-43-1 (-15.6u)
KC -9-105
2u
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 23-38-2 (-19.3u)
KC -9-110
1.1u
Collin Wilson
Last 30d: 68-66-1 (-3.8u)
Under 42.5-110
1u
Double digit winds, possible snow. Both KC and Houston Top 8 defensive DVOA. Houston 26th in tempo and one of the highest FG/TD rates. KC averages 29 seconds per play with a one possession lead. 6 possessions of at least 10 plays ended in 4 TD and 2 FGs on Dec 21
Stuck 🚨
Last 30d: 61-67-2 (-0.5u)
D.Schultz o34.5 Rec Yds-110
0.18u
HOU +10.5 (Live)-115
0.17u
Live alert
D.Schultz o3.5 Recs-130
0.15u
Mike McNamara
Last 30d: 70-68-2 (+0.5u)
HOU +375
0.2u
HOU +9-110
0.5u

Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 127-113-6 (+2.2u)
Under 41.5-108
0.5u
Tyler Shoemaker
Last 30d: 35-40-0 (-1.1u)
HOU +7.5-105
5.25u
Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Over 41.5-110
1.1u
Kody Malstrom
Last 30d: 64-45-1 (+6.7u)
Under 42.5-111
0.5u
P.Mahomes o0.5 Int-115
0.58u
D.Schultz o3.5 Recs-125
0.5u
Tailed some @ChrisRaybon player props over the week
C.Stroud u225.5 Pass Yds-115
0.58u
R.Woods u2.5 Recs-190
0.5u
Sean Koerner🔮
Last 30d: 48-56-0 (+2.8u)
K.Hunt u10.5 Longest Rush-105
1.05u
Anthony Dabbundo
Last 30d: 43-58-0 (-17.9u)
HOU u16.5 Team Total-110
1u
C.Stroud o33.5 Pass Att-128
0.5u
C.Stroud o0.5 Int-140
0.5u
The Degenerate
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
HOU +8.5-110
1u
Over 41.5-110
1u
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 362-382-7 (+19.1u)
J.Metchie o32.5 Rec Yds-117
0.5u
M.Brown o39.5 Rec Yds-110
0.55u
T.Kelce o51.5 Rec Yds-117
0.5u
J.Mixon o55.5 Rush Yds-113
0.5u
Matt DiLeo
Last 30d: 32-23-0 (+4.3u)
X.Worthy o2.5 Rush Yds-135
1u
N.Collins o25.5 Longest Reception-125
1u
Jeremiah Rose
Last 30d: 44-53-2 (-2.2u)
D.Schultz o3.5 Recs-140
0.29u
Boyd
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 226-230-2 (+4.2u)
KC -7-125
$2.00
Grant Neiffer
Last 30d: 23-81-4 (+0.7u)
C.Stroud o33.5 Pass Att-128
1.28u
Collin Whitchurch
Last 30d: 96-123-3 (+0.6u)
C.Stroud u225.5 Pass Yds-115
0.58u
T.Kelce u5.5 Recs+105
0.5u
K.Hunt u10.5 Longest Rush-105
0.53u
D.Schultz o37.5 Rec Yds-117
0.5u
R.Woods u2.5 Recs-180
0.5u
D.Schultz Anytime TD Scorer Yes+475
0.5u
X.Worthy Anytime TD Scorer Yes+210
0.5u
Picks Office
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 41.5+100
1u
Read full writeup: https://x.com/PicksOffice
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 98-97-3 (+18.5u)
HOU +6 (1H)-104
1.04u
J.Mixon Anytime TD Scorer Yes+145
1.45u
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 28-96-0 (-14.2u)
HOU +8.5-108
1u
TAN pod / best bets
X.Worthy 6+ Receptions Yes+152
0.5u
TAN pod / best bets — Worthy escalator
X.Worthy o4.5 Recs-136
0.37u
TAN pod / best bets — Worthy escalator
X.Worthy 8+ Receptions Yes+525
0.15u
TAN pod / best bets — Worthy escalator
X.Worthy 7+ Receptions Yes+280
0.25u
TAN pod / best bets — Worthy escalator
T.Kelce 70+ Receiving Yards Yes+235
1.18u
TAN pod / best bets — Travis Kelce legacy escalator
X.Worthy o74.5 Rush + Rec Yds+190
0.25u
TAN pod / best bets — Worthy escalator
T.Kelce Anytime TD Scorer Yes+160
1.6u
TAN pod / best bets — Travis Kelce legacy escalator
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 47-50-2 (-6.5u)
Under 41.5-119
1u
Sunday Six Pack
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
D.Schultz o3.5 Recs-110
1u
Raybon 1
Convince Me
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 20.5 (2H)-125
0.8u
@SimonHunterNFL
K.Hunt u10.5 Longest Rush-105
1u
@The_Oddsmaker
C.Stroud u227.5 Pass Yds-110
1u
@ChrisRaybon
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 70-79-4 (-21.0u)
Under 41.5-105
2.86u
Kyle Just Bets
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
X.Worthy o4.5 Recs-140
0.71u
Chris Gimino
Last 30d: 6-7-0 (-0.6u)
J.Mixon u15.5 Rush Att+102
1u
P.Mahomes u25.5 Rush Yds-110
0.91u
Will Brinson
Last 30d: 4-5-0 (+0.6u)
KC -8.5-111
2u
Proptology _
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
T.Kelce o18.5 Longest Reception-102
1u
Austin Pendergrass
Last 30d: 69-44-0 (+11.3u)
X.Worthy Anytime TD Scorer Yes+190
0.5u
X.Worthy 5+ Receptions Yes-152
0.66u
X.Worthy o4.5 Rush Yds-115
1u
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 52-54-1 (+7.8u)
Under 42.5-110
0.91u
P.Mahomes u0.5 Int-110
0.91u
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 22-60-1 (-4.0u)
J.Mixon Anytime TD Scorer Yes+145
1.45u
X.Worthy Anytime TD Scorer Yes+220
1u
@ChrisRaybon likes it. I like it. Easy choice.
C.Stroud Anytime TD Scorer Yes+1300
0.3u
K.Hunt u10.5 Longest Rush-105
0.53u
#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Colby Marchio
Last 30d: 1-1-0 (-0.1u)
C.Stroud o39.5 Rush Yds (Live)+980
2.06u
C.Stroud o13.5 Rush Yds-110
0.73u
S.Perine o9.5 Rec Yds-110
0.55u
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 44-112-0 (+2.2u)
J.Mixon Anytime TD Scorer Yes+140
1.05u
C.Stroud Anytime TD Scorer Yes+1200
0.25u
Brian Matthews
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
X.Worthy o4.5 Recs-120
1u
Over in 5 straight not including week 18 when they rested starters. 7 receptions against the Texans in week 16.
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 42-31-1 (+1.3u)
K.Hunt u10.5 Longest Rush-105
0.53u
Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Topper
Last 30d: 183-150-8 (+26.0u)
P.Mahomes o1.5 Pass TDs-144
0.9u
5.41% ev bet to -165
T.Kelce u5.5 Recs+123
0.6u
6.55% ev bet to +109
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Over 41.5-111
1.11u
X.Worthy o52.5 Rec Yds-110
1.1u
Freddie
T.Kelce Anytime TD Scorer Yes+150
1.5u
KC -8.5-111
1u
D.Schultz o36.5 Rec Yds-115
1u
D.Hopkins o29.5 Rec Yds (Live)-110
1.1u
KC -8.5-110
1u
The Favorites Podcast
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
KC -8.5-110
1u
Foxhole
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
D.Schultz o31.5 Rec Yds-115
0.87u
KC o22.5 Team Total (Live)-115
0.87u
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 87-91-4 (-13.8u)
Under 42-112
0.89u
Bryan Fonseca
Last 30d: 7-5-0 (+1.7u)
Under 41.5-105
0.48u
JB Bets
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
T.Kelce Anytime TD Scorer Yes (Live)+155
1.55u
VIP CASH🔥
D.Schultz o34.5 Rec Yds (Live)-138
0.72u
VIP CASH! USE CODE 2025 FOR 50% OFF
Gamblers Dream
Last 30d: 0-4-0 (-4.2u)
HOU +11.5 (Live)-130
2.31u
Premium “ double dip “
The Propfessor
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
C.Stroud o14.5 Rush Yds-113
1u
PvB Bets
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
C.Stroud o0.5 Int-140
1u
C.J. Stroud ⬆️ 0.5 INT (-140 @ FanDuel)
THE BLITZ 📽️: 0.8 INT
This is worth a play on +EV alone. Here is where this under is at on other books:
DK: -160
MGM: -185
Caesars: -174
BR: -175
Pinnacle: -169
Stroud finished the regular season with 3 INT's in his final 3 games and threw one last week in the wild card round. He should have thrown 2, but one was called back.
KC has forced 13 INT's this season and in what will likely be a negative game script for Stroud, he might find himself forcing the ball later in the game. In a game vs KC earlier this season, he threw a pair of INT's.
I don't love HOU's chances of grabbing a lead in this one and Stroud just hasn't been the same guy this season.
C.Stroud o13.5 Rush Yds-109
0.92u
CJ Stroud ⬆️ 13.5 Rush Yards (-109 @ BetRivers)
THE BLITZ 📽️: 18.83 RushY
Rolling with 2 Stroud props for game one. Stroud is more when he wants to be. We just saw him rush for 42 yards on 6 carries vs this Chargers team. Especially later in games, he is willing to take off.
KC is allowing the 7th most rushing yards per game to opposing QBs, which you have to take with a grain of salt. Ultimately, this is a team that creates good pressure which can force QB's up in the pocket and open up rushing lanes.
Stroud has cleared this line in his only game vs KC as well. With Stroud really struggling at times with him arm, I'm expecting him to take yardage with his legs when he can.
JC Cornell
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
KC -8.5-109
2.75u
X.Worthy o52.5 Rec Yds-113
1.13u
D.Schultz o39 Rec Yds-115
1u
KC -3.5 (Live)+100
3u
P.Mahomes o1.5 Pass TDs-165
1.65u
X.Worthy Anytime TD Scorer Yes+205
1u
P.Mahomes o250.5 Pass Yds-113
1.13u
KC -8.5-110
2.73u
Player Props
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
D.Schultz o38.5 Rec Yds-110
0.91u
Roger Goodell
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
KC -7.5-110
0.45u
Texans vs. Chiefs Previews & Analysis
Texans vs. Chiefs Props
Prop Projections
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Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Texans vs. Chiefs Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Chiefs are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
- Chiefs are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Chiefs are 1-1 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Chiefs' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Chiefs' 3 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Texans vs. Chiefs Injury Updates

Texans Injuries
- David MontgomeryRB
Montgomery is doubtful with groin
Doubtful
- British BrooksRB
Brooks is out with hamstring
Out

Chiefs Injuries
- Tyquan ThorntonWR
Thornton is out with ankle
Out
- Rashee RiceWR
Rice is doubtful with hamstring
Doubtful
Team Stats
Texans vs. Chiefs Odds Comparison
Could not load odds
Texans at Chiefs Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Texans 2-4 | N/A | N/A |
Chiefs 5-0 | N/A | N/A |




