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Texans vs. Colts Odds & Betting Predictions - September 27, 2026

Texans at Colts

5:00 pm • CBS

Houston Texans

2-4
17
17 - 19

Indianapolis Colts

2-4
19

Texans at Colts Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Texans
2-4
-1.5
-1.5-112
o42.5-110
-125
Colts
2-4
u45.5
+1.5-108
u42.5-110
+105
location pinSunday 5:00 p.m.
September 27, 2026
Lucas Oil StadiumIndianapolis
Texans vs. Colts Expert Picks
Vegas Refund
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 30-40-2 (-14.6u)
HOU -120
1.2u
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 30-42-2 (-4.3u)
Under 42.5-104
0.53u
IND +117
0.32u
IND +2.5+100
0.55u
Sean Koerner🔮
Sean Koerner🔮
Last 30d: 55-65-0 (+2.4u)
D.Stingley u3.5 Tackles + Ast-109
0.5u
Proj closer to 3.2 and 60%. Pairing him up with Devon Witherspoon under 5.5 at PrizePicks as well
D.Schultz u5.5 Recs-123
0.5u
Nice sell-high spot after Schultz went absolutely nuclear for 12/140/0 last week. I can’t imagine many people are lining up to bet his under now, which is part of why I like it. He’s still going to be one of Stroud’s top targets with Nico Collins out, but the matchup is much different. Lou Anarumo has been using man coverage at one of the highest rates through two weeks, and Schultz has historically been much better against zone. Last year he had a 24% target rate with an 87% catch rate vs. zone, compared to just 17% target rate and 59% catch rate vs. man. Houston also had the perfect environment for him last week. They’ve been trailing far more than usual despite having one of the league’s best defenses, and Cincinnati has been a dream matchup for TEs. I’m expecting more neutral/positive game script here, more rushing volume, and potentially more heavy TE personnel. That matters because Schultz’s playing time in 12 personnel has already dipped quite a bit. So even if he remains Houston’s top pass catcher, I think the route volume and efficiency both come down. I have him closer to 5.1 receptions with around a 60% chance to stay under 5.5. Pretty classic sell-high spot after a monster box score, and you know the public is going to want the over.
Doug Ziefel
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 361-409-7 (+9.8u)
D.Slayton u1.5 Recs-180
0.9u
D.Schultz u5.5 Recs-125
0.5u
Jeremiah Rose
Jeremiah Rose
Last 30d: 51-59-2 (-1.5u)
D.Montgomery Anytime TD Scorer Yes (Live)+190
0.2u
Boyd / FanDuel
HOU -125
0.6u
Boomer’s Book
Ryan Minion
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 228-246-5 (-15.5u)
D.Montgomery Anytime TD Scorer Yes+100
$1.00
https://discord.gg/cP6X2bgkS
OldSchool0909
Last 30d: 45-60-2 (-9.4u)
HOU -1.5-109
1u
Sandy Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 101-97-2 (+28.1u)
HOU -125
1.25u
Prop Bomb 🏝
Prop Bomb 🏝
Last 30d: 21-17-0 (+6.0u)
D.Montgomery o46.5 Rush Yds-115
1.15u
From “The Lunch Break” on YouTube (PropBomb TV!) This was PropHolliday’s featured Player Prop on the show!
RoyalsProps
RoyalsProps
Last 30d: 28-38-1 (-15.8u)
HOU -123
1.23u
Frank Ammirante
Frank Ammirante
Last 30d: 107-100-0 (-7.1u)
D.Montgomery Anytime TD Scorer Yes+100
1u
J.Downs o49.5 Rec Yds-113
1u
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 23-66-1 (-3.0u)
D.Schultz u5.5 Recs-123
0.5u
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 54-119-0 (+6.3u)
X.Hutchinson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+370
0.5u
C.Stroud u9.5 Longest Rush-123
1u
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-predictions-week-3-expert-data-driven-picks-sunday-sept-27
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 41-31-1 (+0.9u)
D.Stingley u3.5 Tackles + Ast-109
0.5u
Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
D.Schultz u5.5 Recs-123
0.5u
Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Topper
Topper
Last 30d: 191-156-8 (+27.5u)
HOU -1.5-112
1u
Early szn Bounce Back Overall: 336-232-10,59% (ROI:15%) Season:4-4-0,50% (ROI:-4%) #TSA
Action Pod NFL Picks
Action Pod NFL Picks
Last 30d: 54-114-0 (-2.8u)
IND +114
1u
@DougKezirian https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/nfl-week-3-betting-preview/id1004530793?i=1000791367319
Adam Kaufman
Adam Kaufman
Last 30d: 326-319-10 (-29.3u)
HOU -125
0.31u
Under 42.5-104
0.5u
💰🦡 Jake
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 86-100-1 (+15.7u)
HOU -120
1.8u
Nick Griffith
Last 30d: 48-42-0 (+7.0u)
IND +3-113
1u
Babs .
Babs .
Last 30d: 45-38-1 (-0.2u)
D.Slayton u12.5 Rec Yds-108
1u
D.Schultz u50.5 Rec Yds-114
1.17u
Kendra Middleton
Kendra Middleton
Last 30d: 13-24-0 (-2.2u)
HOU -1.5-106
0.5u
TAN Pod Touchdown Show
TAN Pod Touchdown Show
Last 30d: 26-122-6 (-11.7u)
D.Montgomery First Touchdown Scorer Yes+500
0.2u
@The_Oddsmaker https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/nfl-touchdown-show-week-3/id1004530793?i=1000791547972
T.Warren Anytime TD Scorer Yes+215
0.47u
@The_Oddsmaker https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/nfl-touchdown-show-week-3/id1004530793?i=1000791547972

Texans vs. Colts Previews & Analysis

  • Texans vs. Colts: Prime Spot to Back Indy article feature image

    Texans vs. Colts: Prime Spot to Back Indy

    Doug Kezirian•
    Sep 27, 2026 UTC
  • Anderson's Week 3 Mega-Preview: Props, Parlays, More! article feature image

    Anderson's Week 3 Mega-Preview: Props, Parlays, More!

    Brandon Anderson•
    Sep 27, 2026 UTC
  • Week 3 Luck Rankings Dashboard: All Edges in One Place article feature image

    Week 3 Luck Rankings Dashboard: All Edges in One Place

    Nick Giffen•
    Sep 27, 2026 UTC
  • Action Analytics: Data-Driven Picks, Parlays & Ladders for Week 3 article feature image

    Action Analytics: Data-Driven Picks, Parlays & Ladders for Week 3

    Action Predictive Analytics•
    Sep 27, 2026 UTC
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Texans vs. Colts Props

Prop Projections

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Texans vs. Colts Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Texans

Public

Home Logo

Colts

48%

Bets%

52%

Money%

NFL Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Colts are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
  • Colts are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Colts are 1-1 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Colts' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Colts' 3 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Colts		3-31-21-11-12-2
Texans		2-40-31-11-31-1

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Colts		4-22-12-01-13-1
Texans		3-32-10-21-32-0

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Colts		2-4N/AN/A1-11-3
Texans		2-4N/AN/A1-31-1

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Sep 21st@KCL 30-33+6 WO 45.5KC +230
Sep 13thBALL 23-41+3 LO 48.5BAL +135
Aug 29thDETL 16-25-1.5 LO 36.5-
Aug 22ndATLL 6-34-3.5 LO 36.5ATL -165
Aug 13th@NEL 13-13-3 LU 37.5NE -166

Colts vs. Texans Injury Updates

Colts Injuries

  • Ashton Dulin
    WR

    Dulin is doubtful with hamstring

    Doubtful

  • Alec Pierce
    WR

    Pierce is out with heel

    Out

  • Anthony Gould
    WR

    Gould is doubtful with concussion

    Doubtful

  • Tyler Warren
    TE

    Warren is questionable with groin

    Questionable

Texans Injuries

  • David Montgomery
    RB

    Montgomery is doubtful with groin

    Doubtful

  • British Brooks
    RB

    Brooks is out with hamstring

    Out

See more NFL Injuries Right Arrow
Team Stats

Total

223
Total Yards
300
51
Total Plays
71
4.4
Yards Per Play
4.2

Passing

167
YDS
235
16/27
Comps/Atts
24/36
5.1
YPA
5.275
1/0
TDs/INTs
1/1
3/14
Sacks/Yards
4/24

Rushing

70
Rush Yards
89
21
Attempts
31
3.333
YPC
2.871
1
TDs
0

Turnovers

0
Fumbles Lost
2
0
Interceptions
1

Efficiency

2/3 66.67%
Redzone
1/3 33.33%
4/11 0%
3rd Down
7/15 0%
0/1 0%
4th Down
2/2 0%

First Downs

17
Total
19
8
Pass
11
7
Rush
8
2
Penalty
0

Misc

2/14
Penalties/Yards
6/41
24:47
Possession
35:13

Texans vs. Colts Odds Comparison

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Texans at Colts Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Texans
2-4
N/A
N/A
Colts
2-4
N/A
N/A