Aaron Rodgers, Cooper Kupp & Matthew Stafford Have Most Popular Rams vs. Packers Player Props
Photo by Dylan Buell/Getty Images. Pictured: Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers
|Time||4:25 p.m. ET|
|Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.|
The Rams have been reeling as of late. Besides a dominant performance against the lowly Texans, they’ve struggled the last month offensively and have seen their offensive DVOA ranking drop from a firm No. 1 to a loose No. 2 in relatively short order.
Matthew Stafford, despite his solid overall stats, has shown flashes of what made his stint with the Detroit Lions terrible — mistakes, poor reads and lots and lots of interceptions. He’s averaging two picks a game over the last two weeks.
And the Rams barely squeaked by the Lions, too, three weeks ago. Detroit had been up 19-17 entering the fourth quarter. Los Angeles is coming off a much-needed bye week entering this game.
Meanwhile, Green Bay has shown that it’s assuredly aSuper Bowl contender, but it’s mired by an Aaron Rodgers injury that will linger throughout the season.
Rodgers has not practiced in weeks. First, he missed a full week of practice and a game after contracting the coronavirus. Then, he says he fractured his toe during quarantine. Rodgers has practiced just once since Nov. 3.
Despite these factors, Rodgers still has the most popular player prop for this massive NFC matchup.
Rams vs. Packers Player Props
- Aaron Rodgers to throw for more than 265.5 yards (-115)
- Cooper Kupp to record more than 95.5 receiving yards (-121)
- Matthew Stafford to throw for more than 270.5 yards (-121)
Odds and data are courtesy of PointsBet
Rodgers has hit this pass total just four times in his 10 games this season, but he has done so in every game since he returned from the COVID-19 restricted list.
Rodgers has fulfilled the prop against Washington (30th against the pass), the Seahawks (25th), Bengals (19th) and Vikings (eighth). The Rams have the 10th-best pass defense in the NFL, according to DVOA.
Given how high-flying the Rams’ offense is, this one could turn into a shootout. There isn’t fantastic value with this prop given historical precedent. If you’re that confident that Rodgers will put up a monster game, perhaps there’s more value with the Packers moneyline at +110.
Next up is Cooper Kupp, who has gone over 95.5 receiving yards in seven of his 10 games. That rate implies odds of about -235. The current line at -121 is a pretty crazy value given the implied odds.
That said, the Packers are a decent 12th against the pass and will be targeting Kupp with double teams and scheme changes.
Also, the 95.5 threshold is a high benchmark to pass. Still, I think there’s too much value here to give up. Definitely sprinkle a little bit on this prop.
Lastly, Matthew Stafford’s third-most popular player prop has been fulfilled in eight of his 10 games this season. That rate implies ridiculous odds at -400. This, too, has too much value to pass on.
Bank on Stafford and Kupp to fulfill player prop thresholds that they’ve been doing for the majority of the season.