Cardinals vs. Ravens Odds: Is There Still Value on the Over/Under?

Cardinals vs. Ravens Odds: Is There Still Value on the Over/Under? article feature image
Credit:

Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Baltimore Ravens running back Mark Ingram

  • Bettors have pounded the Cardinals vs. Ravens (1 p.m. ET, FOX) over/under so far this week.
  • We examine whether there's still value in the over or whether the market fully corrected for the bad opener.

One of the biggest NFL storylines heading into Week 2 is the performance of Lamar Jackson and the Ravens offense last week, which put up 59 points against the Miami Dolphins.

Kyler Murray is a big story in his own right after leading Arizona to a 27-27 tie despite trailing Detroit by 11 points heading into the fourth quarter.

With these two teams matching up on Sunday, the betting market has been extremely bullish on the Cardinals vs. Ravens over.

Oddsmakers opened the total at 42.5 and a flood of both public and sharp money quickly drove the number to 47 as recently as Tuesday night.

With sportsbooks so off on this opening number, is there still value in betting the over? Or has the market corrected enough to get the Cardinals vs. Ravens over/under to the correct spot?

Odds above as of Wednesday morning and via PointsBet, where Action Network users can exclusively bet all Week 2 NFL spreads at reduced juice (-105).

Sports Insights’ Bet Signals, which track and report professional betting action in real-time, have triggered five moves on the over, ranging from 41.5 to 45.5.

However, as soon as the total leaked to 47 and above, sharp buyback hit the market to grab the under in two separate instances.

This is a prime example of how savvy bettors play numbers, not teams (or bet types). It’s fair to say that sharps are on both the over and under, it just depends on which lines they got at the time.

So, where should bettors go from here?

The Action Network’s Sean Koerner projects this total at 46.5, which is exactly where the market has settled. At this point, there isn’t much value on either side of the number.

But bettors interested in this matchup should instead take a look at the spread.

Koerner’s ratings make this line Cardinals +11, and while the market consensus now sits at +13, there are a handful of books at Arizona +13.5 for those who want to maximize line value.