Best Chiefs-Broncos MNF Player Props: Kareem Hunt Over/Under 17.5 Receiving Yards?
USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Kareem Hunt and Case Keenum
- There are two props offering betting value in the Monday Night Football game between the Kansas City Chiefs and Denver Broncos (8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN).
- This piece will analyze the following prop bets: Chiefs RB Kareem Hunt over/under 17.5 receiving yards and Broncos QB Case Keenum over/under 6.5 rushing yards.
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There are two NFL player prop bets offering value in the Kansas City Chiefs-Denver Broncos matchup on Monday Night Football, which kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN.
>>Check out the FantasyLabs Prop Tool to see the eight props for tonight’s Chiefs-Broncos game rated an 8 out of 10 or better. All odds referenced here are as of noon ET on Monday.
Chiefs RB Kareem Hunt
The pick: Under 17.5 receiving yards (-105 @ Bovada)
Among running backs last season, Hunt averaged 3.9 targets (14th), 3.3 receptions (11th), and 28.4 receiving yards (8th) per game.
Through three games this year, he has drawn three targets. Not per game … total.
Beyond the usage issue, which caps Hunt’s upside as a receiver, the Broncos have allowed the 10th-fewest receptions to RBs this year.
With how well the Chiefs have been playing, there is really no reason to alter their approach, so as 3.5-point road favorites, the game script will likely lead to more opportunities between the tackles for Hunt than through the air.
Broncos QB Case Keenum
The pick: Under 6.5 rushing yards (-105 @ 5Dimes)
The Chiefs have seen the fewest quarterback rush attempts in the league this year, but they have also faced the Chargers, Steelers and 49ers.
It remains to be seen how this defense — dead last in DVOA per Football Outsiders — will fare against a dual-threat quarterback.
That said, we may have to wait until Week 5 for that (Jacksonville), even though Keenum averaged 10.7 rushing yards per game last season for Minnesota.