Best Giants-49ers MNF Props: Evan Engram Over/Under 4 Receptions?
Jason Getz-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Evan Engram and Eli Manning
- There are two props offering betting value in the Monday Night Football game between the New York Giants and San Francisco 49ers (8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN).
- This piece will analyze the following prop bets: Over/under 5 total sacks and Giants TE Evan Engram over/under 4 receptions.
There are two NFL player prop bets offering value in the New York Giants and San Francisco 49ers matchup on Monday Night Football, which kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN.
The Action Network’s public betting data will often be used in this data-driven analysis of props.
So will the player props tool at FantasyLabs, which takes each prop bet listed across five of the most popular sportsbooks and leverages them against our player projections from Sean Koerner, the No. 1 in-season fantasy football ranker in each of the past three seasons.
*All odds as of 3 p.m. ET on Monday
Giants/49ers Total Sacks
The pick: Under 5 sacks (-105)
The total sacks prop is an interesting one because the O-lines for the Giants (26th) and 49ers (25th) rank near the bottom of the league in Football Outsiders’ adjusted sack rate.
However, each team’s pass rush isn’t much better. Per Sports Info Solutions, the Giants’ 1.25 sacks per game this year trails only the Raiders (0.78), and their 28.52% pressure rate ranks 24th.
Meanwhile, the 49ers are right around the league average in sacks per game (2.78) and pressure rate (30.08%).
With extra juice on the over, the under is intriguing despite the Giants’ atrocious offensive line.
Giants TE Evan Engram
The pick: Under 4 receptions (-105)
Engram is the No. 4 receiving option on this Giants team, averaging just 5.2 targets per game while representing just 13.5% of their market share of targets.
New York’s passing offense flows through Odell Beckham, Saquon Barkley and Sterling Shepard, who’ve combined to own 70.5% of the Giants’ target share.
Overall, Engram has been held under four receptions in three of his five games this season, and he’s presently projected for 3.5 receptions in the FantasyLabs Prop tool.