Rams vs Packers Odds, Prediction, Week 9 Pick
Getty Images. Pictured: Cooper Kupp (left) and Jordan Love.
Rams vs Packers Odds
| Rams Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
+4 -110 | 38 -110o / -110u | +170 |
| Packers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
-4 -110 | 38 -110o / -110u | -20 |
Rams vs. Packers odds have Green Bay laying four points after the latest news of Matthew Stafford's status for the game.
Stafford is likely out due to an elbow injury, which means QB Brett Rypien is poised to start for the Rams. Reports about this moved the spread from Packers -3 to -3.5 overnight into Sunday morning.
The Rams and Packers are looking to salvage their seasons after underperforming thus far. One team, however, is operating with a personnel advantage.
Let's preview the game and get into my Rams vs. Packers prediction below.
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When you think of the Rams, Aaron Donald is the first player that comes to mind. He has earned the honor of being considered one of the best pass rushers in the game.
However, Donald doesn’t get much help from his fellow linemen. As we go down the list of Los Angeles pass rushers, you see why the Rams have the fifth-lowest pressure rate in the NFL. This unit only hurries the quarterback on 6% of dropbacks, which is the eighth-lowest rate. The pass rush leaves a lot to be desired, even with one of the greats at the left edge.
Teams also like to throw it deep on Los Angeles. The Rams have allowed an average depth of target of nearly 9 yards. This is the fifth-highest compared to their counterparts.
This figure makes more sense when you consider how bad the Rams are at tackling and coverage. They have the worst coverage grade, and the third-most missed tackles, coming in with 63 this season.
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While the Packers have struggled to do anything well this season, PFF has their pass block rating at 74.4. This is among the best, only behind the Vikings (!), Lions, and Buccaneers.
Jordan Love has had plenty of time to make big throws this season and he has certainly tried to take advantage of those opportunities. Even though he has not made the most of those chances, he keeps on trying. He has the third-most pass attempts of 30-plus yards, and the second-most pass attempts of 50-plus yards.
The Rams’ defensive numbers should give the Green Bay coaching staff more than enough reasons to let Love loose, but what do we do with this information?
It is hard to put much trust in Love to tally over 215.5 passing yards, and the same logic applies to any receiver’s receiving yards. There will be plenty of 10-plus yard throws, but I can’t trust Love to put the ball where it needs to go to make those completions and get those yards.
So, how do we bet this?
Rams vs. Packers
Betting Picks & Predictions
Love will have plenty of time in the pocket, and I believe the Packers’ coaching staff knows this. Plenty of deep throws will be drawn up, with the hopes of completions, missed tackles and yards after the catch.
The Packers’ game plan will be to extend the field, leaving the running backs to do exactly what their name implies, run.
Love won’t be in duress, and he won’t have to bail out to his running backs with a screen. The game plan will be to stretch the field, not dink and dunk. Because of this, I don’t expect Aaron Jones to get many receptions.
Pick: Aaron Jones Under 2.5 Receptions (+150; bet365)
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