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Saints-Vikings SNF Betting Preview: Will Brees & Co. Get Their Revenge?

Oct 28, 2018 6:55 PM EDT

USA Today Sports. Pictured: Kirk Cousins, Drew Brees

Betting odds: New Orleans Saints at Minnesota Vikings

    • Spread: Pick’em
    • Over/Under: 52
    • Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
    • TV channel: NBC

>> All odds as of Friday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets

Betting market: Early betting on the Saints brought them down to a pick ’em — and even -1 at a few books — after opening at – 1.5. The Vikings have picked up only 39% of bets as of writing (see live data here), but those have accounted for 50% of overall money.

As for the total, 76% of tickets and 87% of dollars are on the over, yet this number has actually fallen from its opener, moving from 53 to 52. Danny Donahue

Trends to know: The Saints and Drew Brees are on an absolute roll. They’ve won five straight games straight up and four in a row against the spread.

When the Saints and Brees are rolling, it has been a good bet to jump on the train.

  • On 3+ SU and ATS Win Streak: 14-7 ATS (+5.5 ATS diff)
  • On 4+ SU and ATS Win Streak: 9-2 ATS (+11.1 ATS diff)

Although … playing under the prime-time lights has been a bit of a Jekyll and Hyde situation for Brees since he arrived in New Orleans:

  • At Home: 18-7 ATS, +8.2 ATS diff
  • On Road: 7-10-1 ATS, -0.4 ATS diff

Meanwhile, the public is fading the Vikings at home for the first time in 2018. But recent history suggests that maybe that isn’t the best idea.

Since 2012, Minnesota is 19-7-1 ATS (73.1%) at home when receiving less than the majority of the ticket count, profiting bettors 11.1 units.

When the Vikings’ opponent is coming off a win, Minnesota is 13-2 ATS (86.7%), covering the spread by 6.9 points per game. Evan Abrams



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