NHL Odds, Preview, Prediction: Kraken vs Blackhawks Picks (Tuesday, Nov. 28)
Oliver McKenna/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Matty Beniers.
Kraken vs. Blackhawks Odds
| Kraken Odds | -192 |
| Blackhawks Odds | +158 |
| Over / Under | 6.5 -102 / -120 |
Kraken vs. Blackhawks odds for Tuesday, November 28 see the road team, Seattle, favored on the moneyline while road Chicago is the underdog. The over/under has been set at 6.5, juiced toward the under.
The Kraken enter Tuesday's matchup tied for the final wild-card spot with 21 points. They enter on ideal rest and with a reasonable injury situation, so its no surprise to see the Kraken priced as favorites.
The Blackhawks have lost six of their last seven and are now tied with the Sharks with just 12 points.
Let's preview the latest NHL odds and dive into my Kraken vs. Blackhawks prediction for Tuesday, November 28.
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It has been a turbulent start to the season for the Kraken, who had an excellent season last year relative to expectations. Still, a win here moves them to 9-9-5.
That's right around where most preseason projections had Seattle, and its form suggests it will continue to float right around the playoff cut line.
The Kraken will likely play without some key forwards for this matchup. Andre Burakovsky has been out for several weeks, and remains on IR. Oliver Bjorkstrand left Friday's contest, and his status is in question. Brandon Tanev will also remain sidelined.
Those absences could mean a little extra playing time for Seattle's dominant top offensive unit of Jordan Eberle, Matty Beniers and Jared McCann should this contest hold close score-lines. They have continued to show as a legitimate top line, and own a 59.3% expected goal rating at even strength in 114 minutes this season.
In a sample of 524.2 minutes together last season, they put up a 55.4% expected goals rating, even while mainly drawing the opposition's toughest matchup assignments. Relative to what that trio usually sees, they will get some favorable matchups tonight.
Eberle, McCann and Beniers also all skate on the top power-play unit, which has clicked at 23.4% so far.
Joey Daccord is probable to get the start in goal with Philipp Grubauer also listed as day-to-day. Daccord owns a -5.0 GSAx and .895 save % in 12 appearances this season.
After a surprisingly competitive start to the season, the rebuilding Blackhawks roster is beginning to produce the results most would expect. Over the last 10 games they have allowed an average of 4.18 goals against per game. They own a 3.85 xGA/60 in those 10 games, which is second to only San Jose's 3.87 mark.
Connor Bedard has dominated as expected, particularly considering the talent of the roster. Former seventh overall pick Kevin Korchinski has also played extremely well, and is another significant bright spot for Hawks fans to hang their hat on.
The Blackhawks also quietly have five NHL regulars out of the lineup, which has surely began to contribute to their lesser run of play.
The one note which does suggest this could be somewhat of a low point for Chicago is that it has played one of the leagues toughest schedules thus far. Make no mistake, though, this roster projected as one of the leagues worst and it has been exactly that.
Petr Mrazek will likely get the start Tuesday. He owns a +0.4 GSAx and .904 save percentage in 11 appearances.
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Kraken vs. Blackhawks
Betting Pick & Prediction
The Blackhawks have looked closer to the full-blown defensive train wreck most expected recently. This particular spot on home ice might lend itself to an improved defensive showing, but the Kraken should be a safe bet for 30 shots and 3.5 goals nonetheless.
The Kraken's top line has been excellent again this season, and is heavily tilting the ice in the right direction. The sample of Beniers, Eberle and McCann being an elite unit has now become quite significant. They will receive better than average matchups tonight, and are well situated to put up some points.
If you look at that lines underlying results this season, it's quite shocking to see Beniers sitting with only 10 points in 22 games. He is priced at -105 to record a point in this favorable matchup. That is pretty far below the price we might see if he had produced with better puck-luck this season, and projects as a good bet.
Beniers is also priced at +285 to score at anytime, which is also a play for me. Putting the bulk of the wager on over 0.5 points and a sprinkle on anytime goal is my suggestion of how to play this.
Pick: Matty Beniers Over 0.5 Points -105 (Play to -115) | Anytime Goalscorer +280 (Play to +285)
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