Premier League Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions: How To Bet Everton vs. Tottenham Hotspur (April 16)
Peter Powell – Pool/Getty Images. Pictured: Everton standout Richarlison.
- There will be plenty at stake in Friday's Premier League match between Everton and Tottenham Hotspur.
- Both clubs are looking to secure places in next season's Europa League, so this could be a pivotal moment in the race for one of the berths.
- BJ Cunningham breaks down the contest below and explains why he's backing the Toffees to get a result.
Everton vs. Spurs Odds
|Over/Under||2.5 (-103 / -121)|
|Day | Time||Friday | 3 p.m. ET|
|Odds as of Thursday morning via DraftKings.|
A huge match Friday kicks off this weekend’s Premier League action, as a Europa League spot could potentially be on the line when Tottenham Hotspur heads to Goodison Park to take on Everton.
Tottenham and Everton sit one point apart in the standings, with the visiting side hanging onto what will likely be the final Europa League spot for the Premier League.
On the other side, the Toffees are struggling right now, going winless in their last four matches. However, they’ve beaten Spurs twice this season, once on opening day at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium and then back in February in FA Cup action.
Manager Jose Mourhino’s side is desperate for points at the moment, as it has just one win in its last four matches. Spurs were beaten at home by Manchester United this past weekend, which marked their seventh loss against teams ahead of them in England’s top flight.
Suffice it to say, Tottenham really needs all three points from this match or its chances at qualifying for the Europa League could be done.
The Toffees have been really average offensively this season, creating only 1.32 expected goals (xG) per match. A lot of that has come from Dominic Calvert-Lewin, who is the club’s main goal scorer and averaging 0.63 xG per 90 minutes. However, Calvert-Lewin is currently questionable to play against Tottenham.
💪 | "For sure, Pickford will be available, I hope Allan and Gomes will be available, Calvert-Lewin and Joshua King."
— Everton (@Everton) April 12, 2021
The Toffees were only able to create 0.31 xG in Monday’s fixture against Brighton & Hove Albion without him in the lineup. The next closest scoring threat is Richarlison, who only has a 0.36 xG/90 minutes scoring rate.
However, Everton has been stout defensively, allowing only 1.34 xG per match. In the first meeting with Tottenham, it held its own by allowing its foe to create only 1.28 xG and keeping it to a clean sheet. The Toffees should be able to repeat that performance in this spot, especially with first-choice goalkeeper Jordan Pickford returning to the lineup.
Tottenham is vastly overrated, both offensively and defensively. Spurs have scored 52 goals on the season, but only created 44.73 xG so far. As for their defense, the club has given up 35 goals, but allowed their opponents to create 41.65 xG overall.
The other issue for Tottenham is almost all of its success has come against the bottom half of the table. In 15 matches against the top-10 clubs, Spurs are averaging a measly 1.06 xG per match and yielding 1.48 xG per contest.
Harry Kane and Son Heung-min have been a dynamic duo, combining for 33 goals this season. However, they’ve greatly outperformed, as they’ve only combined for 27.01 xG during the campaign. That said, I think Spurs are going to have trouble creating chances in front of net at Goodison Park.
Betting Analysis & Pick
If Calvert-Lewin is able to play in this match, it will make a world of difference for Everton. However, even if he’s out, I think Everton should be able to hang with an overrated Tottenham squad.
Therefore, I am going to back Everton’s Draw no Bet line at +138 odds via DraftKings as my top pick in this meeting.
Pick: Everton — Draw No Bet (+138)